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Stumbled upon this coincidentally and 11 month old price.. really? Anywho, onto the proof.
Not many on sale sadly so I'm going to go with current owner offers and previous owner's
Current Owner
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11937446
Purple Energy Pot (3.9-4.3) + Green Energy Pugilist's (20-26 Keys) = (0.9 * 4.1 = 3.69) + (0.9 * ~1 Bud = ~0.9 Buds) = ~4.6 Buds (With Overpay)
Electrostatic Softcap (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11923394 $315 OFFER!!!!?!?!!? didn't sell, no clue if lie but seems like huge outlier)
Lantern Drill (3.8-4.4) + 1 Pure = (0.9 * 4.1 = 3.69) + 1 = ~4.7 Buds (With Overpay)
Time Warp Honcho's (4.3-5.3) = (0.9 * 4.8 = 3.87) = ~3.9 Buds (With Overpay)
Steaming TC (3.8-4.7) + 1 Pure = (0.9 * 4.25 = 3.825) + 1 = ~4.8 Buds (With Overpay)
Past Owner Offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11863415
Lantern Stash (5.7-6) = (0,9 * 5.85) = ~5.3 Buds (With Overpay)
[b]Conclusion
Sadly I couldn't find what it sold for but so many offers suggesting that lower range that I feel like it'd quite a safe range regardless.
Criticism is much appreciated and I find nothing supporting the nearly 1 year old price in regards to the upper limit.
Down vote
If I offer 1 scrap for a burning tc doesn't make it a scrap
Get sales
Many of the offers seemed to be seriously considered by the owners, which you can't exactly say the same about for a scrap offer on a Burning TC, but we all have our own opinions. Thank you.
calm down... downvote and move on jeez
So i can't provide counter-proof
since apparently to you ignorance>trying to stop this bs
>calm down
=/= telling why his suggestion is incorrect.
If you looked at the other trades one even said owner was considering taking an offer forget which atm and frankly too lazy to go check, calling my suggestion trash after I just checked your suggestions which seem to be using month old offers on the otherhand is downright rude. I'm sorry we can't agree but like the other fellow suggested. Downvote and move on then. :)
^Pot calling the kettle black
Following the 'Past Owner Trade', RadikO bought the hat with a Burning Mountain Cap from this trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11727796.
Item Histories to back this up:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440/1716270553
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440/1722823473
Backpack History:
With Tyrant's: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198037037171?time=1371193200
With Mountain: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198037037171?time=1371279600
Please note that he owned the Luchadore before obtaining the Mountain Cap~
if the offer is higher than the current price - you can say that the price of the hat has risen.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11937446 offers
-Purple Energy Pot (3.9-4.3) + Green Energy Pugilist's (20-26 Keys)~3.9+0.9~4.8 pure.
-Steaming TC (3.8-4.7) + 1 Pure~3.8+1~4.8 pure.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11863415 -You bought for Burning Pith Helmet(~4.8 pure)+sweets?
Offer: -Lantern Stash (5.7-6)~5.7 pure
I agree ,possible 4.8-5.7-proof^^ UP+
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11863415 - was sold for burning pith (4.8-5.3) + sweets: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440/1683408262/439/5
http://backpack.tf/id/76561197987020085?time=1371452400 - before
http://backpack.tf/id/76561197987020085?time=1372662000 - after
By the looks of it, the sweets were around 10 keys.
It might be a bit higher than your high range, but it is a lot lower than 6.5 buds. I'll accept this