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Thank you to Derpeh for your hard work. Sorry you had been waiting on your suggestion for so long.
SOLD for 1 key:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12157275
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12188892
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12200291
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12066066
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11935205
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12130798
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12105402
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12122707
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12121497
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12124947
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11701719
http://imgur.com/c1kSNJX - guy has sold loads for 1 key after buying for ~4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12050485 - buyer for a key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12198790 - has sold loads after buying for 3.66-4 ref
Courtesy of Resi
http://puu.sh/3qmWO/7eef3166ad.png
http://puu.sh/3qmYa/a8586acc6c.png
http://puu.sh/3qn0V/508ae3987b.png
http://puu.sh/3qn1k/8f15fd6519.png
http://puu.sh/3nLN9/17d7d09f97.png
http://puu.sh/3nLRi/8e3ba595a3.png
http://puu.sh/3nLSm/4121faa6aa.png
http://puu.sh/3nLTK/d06014298b.png
http://puu.sh/3nLUs/d8311d9102.png
http://puu.sh/3nLUF/dfb3257416.png
http://puu.sh/3nM2F/5165cf4589.png
http://puu.sh/3nM3C/356aa85b7a.png
http://puu.sh/3nM5P/3fde6195a7.png
http://puu.sh/3nM66/7fb9299050.png
http://puu.sh/3nM6l/329ea024ec.png
http://puu.sh/3nM6u/66a20ce7e3.png
http://puu.sh/3nM6U/4f148a1093.png
http://puu.sh/3nM84/c48d65d554.png
http://puu.sh/3nM8C/58665ca8e9.png
http://puu.sh/3nMa0/3a411e9a36.png
http://puu.sh/3nMcK/09aa90a9c7.png
http://puu.sh/3nMe3/9af04f8152.png
SOLD in ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12158549 - 4.66 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12168204 - 4.66 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12120894 - 4.66 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12194528 - 4.66 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12158446 - 4.88 ref
SELLING/SOLD/OFFERS to establish low end:
http://bazaar.tf/trade/279405 - 4 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12186756 - 4 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12014413 - 4 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12170040 - 4 ref (4x)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12121557 - 4.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12195997 - 4.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12165972 - 4.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12182795 - 4.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12182544 - 4.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12182795 - 4.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12182544 - 4.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12160120 - 4.33 ref - multiple adds, he's afk
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12192868 - 4.44 ref with strange part
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12191378 - 4.66 ref with strange part
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12189827 - rejected 4.66 (2 bp expanders)
Conclusion:
High end should remain in tact. 3.66-4 ref are quickbuyers price. A few sellers at 4 ref still. But quite a few available at 4.33-4.66 ref. Going to narrow to 4.33-5.33 ref for now. Wide range is still necessary. As you can see, there is still a dichotomy of sellers. More are selling at either end than anything in the middle, which is why 4.66-5 is less accurate.
One caution: since the price was changed last week, the market got flooded with sellers for 1 key. So there are a lot of unsolds on the market for 1 key. But that doesn't mean they are not selling. Quite the opposite. Loads got on the market for 1 key. Lots are selling, but that still leaves quite a few unsold.
Most of resi's links are quite old some which were even at the beginning of the month should probably not use those as proof
Other than that looks good :)
Yup, I agree. I was just using him and the other guy as examples of mass buyers/sellers who flip from 3.66-->1 key. But you are absolutely right. A lot of his were sold a while ago.
And sorry you were left hanging for so long man. Your suggestion was up for ages.
Yeah I was slightly getting annoyed at the time it took to make a decision, when i posted my proofs nearly 3 days ago, many sellers were unsold at 1 key and plenty of sellers at the 5 ref area which is why i thought why should 5.33 be included if it was so easy to find for 5 refs (literally took 2 mins to find more that 8 sellers)
Some more proof:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12150588 (5 refs) sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12135454 (5 refs)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12147890 (5 refs) sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12119592 (5 refs)
I'm glad you didn't see this as a challenge or something and supported him instead of complaining.
Good job to both. I'm staying out of this item as I accepted the last suggestion and told polar to suggest another price, so I don't want to be called a "maneepoolater" or biased.
Good luck.
Well it's not really the matter of being challenged or something, just want to have a more accurate price so others dont get ripped off. It was quite obvious in my suggestion that many people knew the price was clearly outdated but instead chose to complain about bp.tf reflecting the wrong price yet deciding to make profits instead :l
Agree with Chief ^^. A lot of people would have been pissed and would have complained. I was going to wait your suggestion out myself until he asked me to make the suggestion. Kudos to you.
Took notes on this one, Thanks Derpeh
Counter proof
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12123960[/url] Sold for 2 refined. Tell me what the world has come to.