time to price this

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12027044 - only offer is flaming lantern scotch(2.5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12026435 - item histories match up for a 2:1(big country resold for bud, barnstormer after overpay = 1.1) = 2.1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11328989 - offered 2 pure(buyer gets another later, but payed more then), was willing to sell for 2 pure + 6 keys(2.3)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10875938 - sold for time warp quad, unknown price

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11835159 - another 2:1, claims to have had an offer of 3 buds as well(brainiac = 2.3, pencil pusher = 1) = 3.3

OUTLIER

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10942405 - sold for green black hole bubble pipe

not being used as proof:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8980664 - power surge mancer + birdcage for GE bicorne(had c/o of 8!). mancer = 2ish, another person selling bicorne successfully at 5.5. birdcage in between 3.5 and 5. bicorne is 4.6-5.1 on this site

this hat has been spycrabbed twice, at a value of 3 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12169678

lowest sale = 2.1

highest sale = 3.3

all offers and sales within reason(including the spycrab) fall into this range

it is an large range for sure, but its reasonable