2 on outpost

1 was just unboxed

http://puu.sh/3u3UT.png -bought for 1.3pure+sweets(1.5)2 weeks ago

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11768887 -c/o of blizzardy hermes(1to1)/honcho's headger(1to1+sweets[unknown]) 1.2-1.4/1.6? 1 week ago

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12290052- c/o of a bud. looking for a bud+sf amby(most likely following current price)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11523321 -according to the owner at the time, he sold it for 1 bud+3 keys(1.1) 3 weeks ago

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conclusion

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low value comes from the exchange 3 weeks ago, and since it was pure i considered it as unusual overpay. high value comes from the latest transaction, where i also calculated unusual overpay.