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Proof:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12046585
sold for orb fire armored authority
-1.2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12036053
Sold for smoking lucky shoot
-1.4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12046162
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10991458
Offer of 35 keys
-1.5
but sold for an item with no price
The guy believed that the price of his item was 1.6 in the trade ( see last suggestion)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11957865
Offer of smoking snaggletooth (1.1) and smoking outdoors man (0.6)
-1.7
Lucky is 1.4-1.7 idunno if your doing that for all of the hats but shouldn't you go for the mid price not bottom?
Unusual overpay is the bottom price.
But I bought it from him...
not the other way around