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Time to help price the Unusuals of one of my favourite TF2 hats. Gonna try and do as many Berets as I can tonight :D But I'm lazy so this will probably be the only one...
Link 1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12035442
Offer(s):
4 buds [1 week ago by voldemort]
3 buds [6 days ago by Êriön > Vacation]
2 buds + Nuts and Bolts Villain's Veil {2.15 * 0.9 = 1.9 buds} = 3.9 buds [4 days ago by (VòÌTóÌS) Destroy all Lines]
Circling TF Logo Hat of Cards {3.1 * 0.9 = 2.8 buds} = 2.8 buds [1 day ago by ★BUDS★]
Apparently he has someone collecting 3.8 buds but I see no proof of it. Take it for what it is.
Link 2: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12205531
Buyout: 3.8-3.9 buds (3 buds + 20 keys). The reason I put this down is because the buyout is lower than some offers from Link 1. Offers below.
Offer(s):
Cauldron Bubbles Charmer's Chapeau {3.6 * 0.9 = 3.2 buds} = 3.2 buds [1 day ago by Asphyxiates]
Only two on Outpost right now.
To explain my range:
3.2 buds seems readily available. Offers of 3 pure and offers past 3 in Unusual overpay have been found. So I took the latest offer, the 3.2 bud Unusual overpay offer from Link 2 as the lower end.
As for the higher end, I feel that 3.9 is a very fair price. 4 buds was a week ago and, yet, in the past few days you can still find offers around this range.
Any advice or tips are welcome. :) If you have a reason to price the hat differently or have proof to give me to support this range or another range please post it below.
<<<EDIT>>>
Proof of Sales:
Did some more digging. O_o
Link 1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12174998
Sold for Spectrum Max's Head + SF Huntsman + S Widowmaker
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198065477866?time=1372489200
Check his backpack between 6/28 and 6/29.
I don't know how to calculate the Halloween paints. Normally you take 1/2 the price but... these are limited paints so someone who knows how to calculate these rare paints let me know. Either way, 2.2 buds + 20-21 key paint. Take it for what it is I guess. Either way, the Max's was considered as 3 buds by the seller and the SF Huntsman and Widowmaker wasn't taken into account then. Other sweets might have been added but I'm too tired to look. :D
Link 2: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12170730
Wanted 3.5 buds. Couldn't find proof of sale via backpack history or anything. It went to a new owner but I can't find out for how much. All I can guesstimate is it sold for around that. Once again, it's a guess. If anyone can find out how much it actually sold for lemme know.
[Will edit with more proof as I find it. ^_^]
Finding out what they have sold for in the past would help you greatly. :P
It would. I was going more on the fact that the owners are accepting 3.8-4 bud offers. Problem with these hats is that the effects are too bloody new and everyday they get less and less desirable.
I'll look for some but unless they're from within 2 weeks or so I wouldn't use them as valid proof.
Alright, if this suggestion is up tomorrow and I remember to look into it, I might try to find some stuff out I guess. I'm heading to sleep for now.
Found what I could of past sales. Hope you have some more luck.
As you said, they're the only two on outpost and I couldn't find any other seller on sourceOP or anywhere else. Neither have been sold in about a week or so either though, so I'd keep it at neutral and check in every now and then though.
Currently gathering proof of sales. Look below you for the first installment. :P
-snip-
More proof thrown onto main post. Not the most solid of "solds" but all I could dig up at the time.
Way2go
Well, the spectral has been high in demand lately when put on items such as maxes or bills and people boosted the prices up like crazy awhile ago. Other Halloween spells are overlooked and not cared for... But like you said, he considered it as a 3 buds and with the S. Widowmaker and Huntsman, roughly gets to the price of 3.2(10.5 + 1.5 = 12/11.5)
Like I said, keep an eye out on the other posts as well, as it's just been a week or so.
I'll upvote for now, as the third guy is something and it's still proof.
I looked over a month back. Most of the past sales were either the unboxer selling it for really low prices (lol 2 buds) or sold outside of Outpost posts.
Good to see that you finally made a suggestion instead of making counterproof.
Upvote.
(You have so much proof on an unusual suggestion...it's making me feel really really lazy)
You don't understand how bored I was tonight. :P