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Well, i thought i would suggest a starting price!
Selling:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12569868 (Seems he sold it, and not sure if those new keys are from that trade)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12590988 (Taking offers, and has gotten a 1 key offer) NOT TAKEN
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12561248 (Looking for 3 keys, and got offered 1 key 2 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12539952 (to many offers, but lots over a key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12562913 (Last two offers are for a key+)
Sold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12569868 (A repeat of the first on `selling` as he might of sold for 2 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12593857 (5.33 Ref)
I will add more proof in comments, if they get sold or new sales come up!
(Seems like a fair starting point)
The last trade under "Selling" is still getting offers of a key+ & keeps declining them!
forgot to add buyers so i will do in this comment!
Buyers: (Most are quick buyers, so i will only add a few)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12586533 (Buying for 1.33 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12553548 (Buying for 3 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12590133 (Buying for 1.66 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12595574 (Buying for 1 key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12593010 (Buying for 3 ref)
Aww, I knew my trade would show up here :D
I've both been buying them fairly succesfully, and selling them succesfully for (currently) 1 key + 2 ref, here is my latest trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12576539 Please notice that if they're 'unsold' (trade is not closed) it doesn't mean I didn't sell any: I constantly take the trade off autobump and add a note that I am restocking when I don't have any left, then bump the trade again when I have new ones.
I think that they definitely sell for higher as well - my selling price is the lowest on the market, I just want to move them quickly. I'm not sure my backpack history will show all the Muchachos moving through, tell me if you need proof of trade history. I would suggest you spit through some 2+ key trades and either proof they sold for that (comments saying 'added'), or show offers of a key and higher. :) Else this will probably get denied because 1.5 keys is 'too high/not supported'.
http://bazaar.tf/trade/298829 (Sold for a familiar fez)