Suggestion: Salvaged Mann Co. Supply Crate #40 at 3.6–4 keys - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

~23 keys

#40

88 votes up

16 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Sat, 13 Jul 13 16:07:31 +0000 by Puddilicious.

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Comments

Darn currency mistake ._.

For the purpose of this suggestion, 1 key = 5.55 ref; 1 bud = 23 keys

Unsold at 4 keys - time (closed = they gave up, still unsold):

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12638745 - 42 minutes

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12638513 - 52 minutes

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9622870 - 54 minutes

http://bazaar.tf/trade/303270 - 56 minutes

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12636981 - 1 hour

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/id/76561197970819407 - 4 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12630291 - 5 hours

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9622131 - 5 hours (closed)

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/id/76561197960271145 - 6 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12618400 - 12 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12615282 - 13 hours

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/id/76561198014488902 - 16 hours

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9621505 - 17 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12607474 - 17 hours

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/id/76561198003147811 - 21 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12593772 - 1 day (closed)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12590824 - 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12588343 - 1 day (selling 8, none sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12571014 - 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12566401 - 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12551793 - 1 day (closed)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12564574 - 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12561033 - 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12559772 - 1 day (has 16)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12553568 - 1 day

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/id/76561197970309329 - 2 days

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/id/76561197994434459 - 3 days

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/id/76561198072621886 - 6 days

Sold at 4 keys - time it took to sell:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12626299 - 8 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12612004 - 15 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12599757 - 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12568847 - 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12551617 - 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12553568 - 1 day

Unsold under 4 keys - price (time):

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12626024 - Selling 2 for 3.5 keys (8 hours, poorly bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12597332 - 3.7 keys (23 hours)

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/id/76561198043797029 - 3.75 keys (6 hours)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12620277 - Selling 6 for 1 bud = 3.8 keys each (11 hours, poorly bumped)

Sold for less than 4 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12629914 - sold 3 at 3 keys each (5 hours)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12551251 - 3.2 keys (1 day)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12632618 - 3.4 keys (4 hours)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12579435 - 3.5 keys each (1 day)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12604449 - S. Original ~3.75 keys (18 hours)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12603078 - 3.9 keys (19 hours)

Tons and tons of crates unsold at 4 keys, but it is still possible to sell at this price. On the other hand, there are plenty of sellers willing to settle for less. 3-3.4 keys is a quick sell. I chose 3.6 because 3.5 keys is still quite quick to sell and .2 key = 1.11 ref ==> nice range c:

Thanks for reading.

Jw, what is the purpose of unsolds @ 4 keys? Regardless...

Eh, you dont have proof of selling for 3.6, more so sold at 3.5 each, like the one of your links took a day for it to sell for that, same for some of the 4 key ones, perhaps 3.5-4 would be more accurate as you have reasonable proof showing anything less sold within what, 5 hours?

Basically to show that the old range of 4-4.25 is inaccurate, and that it shouldn't be 4 keys flat either.

As I said, from what I saw on the interwebs, 3.5 keys sells pretty easily, so I made the drop a bit more conservative to just 3.6 keys. Also, just like when keys were 5 ref, the optimal divisions were .2, .4, .6, and .8. Now they're 5.55: a similar case arises.

Hmph, fair enough. Upvoted, best of luck mate.

Ty and ty c:

no need for 4 keys unsold, you are trying to remove 4.25 from range, show only show unsolds @ 4.25 and sellers for 3.6 to add it to the range :))

Thanks for the advice, master KMD c:

I'll admit I'm guilty of trade.tf spamming on this one, which is why I came up with this. My reasoning was that 4 key unsolds > 4.25 key unsolds. As for the lower end, it is rather ambiguous, so I settled for a conservative 3.6.

Still an upvote, I hope? xD

it is obvious really that you used trade.tf :P (all these classified and tf2p links lol) i really dont know, anything under 4 gets snatched up rather quickly, and many of your 4 key unsolds are either young/unbumped. Really not sure, neutral until my internet gets better to check the links

I liek da variety (and I manually go to the classified links without trade.tf, actually :P). Fair points, I'll have to check back to see how those unsolds under 4 keys go.

A large quantity of avaiable willing 4 key sellers beter proves the need to remove 4.25 from range than arbitrary unsolds at 4.25.

The bigger question is whether 3.6 belongs in range- small number of trades, all young, and othe lowest one (also the only one supporitng 3.6 low range) is one that's never been bumped. That indicates quicksell territory. I'd be much happier with 4 flat here.

i would agree on 4 flat, anything lower than 4 get snatched up quickly