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Unsolds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12101494 (4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12337431 (4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11830846 (4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12478993 (4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11708293 (4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12388595 (4.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12471423 (4.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12101494 (4.33)
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12601215 (3.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12586796 (3.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12612460 (3.66)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12618522 (3.66)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12630222 (3.33-3.66)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12524901 (3.88)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12668216 (Selling for 3.66)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12654585 (Selling for 3.66)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12588182 (Selling for 4 ref; 1 add)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12609547 (Sold for 4 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12656254 (Sold for 4 ref; I know he has one in his backpack, but the item history of the one he sold is different than the one in his backpack)
I do see quite a few 3.66 scattering around. Not a lot of sellers below 3.66. I would suggest 3.66 - 4.00, but you don't have to agree with me.
yup thats why i put some unsolds at 4 but anyway your 3rd link is not sold yet and so is your 4th
I know third link isn't sold, but just showing there's a guy that agreed to a 4 ref price. 4th link is actually sold, don't see it in his backpack. Anyways, you could be right about the new price range! :P