Not much interest at the current price of ~2 Refined. Several trying to sell for more or less than the current price. Only using trades that ask for a certain amount of Refined, not offers. Only 3 pages on the Outpost.

Unsuccessful 2 Refined+ Sellers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12515841 2 Ref, 4 Days old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11551607 2.66 Ref, 1 Month old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11405671 2.33, 1 Month old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12602344 2 Refined, 2 Days old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12566342 2 Refined, 2 Days old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11295378 2.33, 1 Month old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11883332 3 Refined, 3 Weeks old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12431463 2 Refined, 1 Week old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12583855 2 Refined, 2 Days old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10327093 2.33 Refined, 2 Months old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9299632 1 Key, 3 Months old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11381089 2 Refined, 1 Month old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12536623 2.33 Refined, 3 Days old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12523211 2.66 Refined, 3 Days old

(I think that's enough proof of the unsolds... you can definitely find more like the above. Also a few on Classifieds unsold.)

Sellers for less than 2 Refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12614869 1.88, 1 Day old, no adds.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12674161 1.66, 9 Hours old, no interest yet.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12671935 1.77, 10 Hours old, no adds.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12409693 1.66, 1 Week old, unsold.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12586796 1.33, 2 Days old, unsold.

Buyers (Only counting people buying with pure.)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12511450 1.66 for several Genuines.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12392578 1.11 for Guillotine.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12193607 1.33 for Guillotine.

(No messages on these buyer's trades imply that a Guillotine has been sold for their prices. I'm assuming that they have had some success though.)

Setting the low value to 1.66 since there are sellers for less than 2 Refined, but still keeping the high end of 2 because the market for these is fairly small, and demand may go up.