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Re-suggesting with more proof and more accurate range.
Stats:
11 Pages on Outpost for sellers, 7 of which are unbumped. Almost none are in sets or painted.
8 Pages on Outpost for buyers, 5 of which are unbumped. Most are trying to low-ball (1.33-2) with little success.
Now I understand selling =/= sold, but this is a fairly new item on the market, and so it is difficult to buy/sell for a fair price when there's no guideline. Most sellers are trying to get what they can out of it and are declining offers they should take, buyers are doing the same. This item is one of the least demanded from the update as well, so the sales aren't as fast as one would expect.
Sellers:
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/30083/6/0 --- Classifieds has some for 4.33, up to 1 Key, even one for 2 Keys (Really, dude?)
Offers/Adds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12725616 --- 4 Refined offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12651054 --- Offer of 4 Refined; accepted, but not sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12617019 --- Multiple offers, highest current 4.33 + Planeswalker Goggles (~5.44 after overpay)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12710550 --- 1 Key offer, unbumped trade, though.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12535796 --- Multiple 1 Key offers, even a 2 key offer declined. (What?!)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12596146 --- 1 Key, buyer got a different one, though.
Sold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12562797 --- 1 Key, possibly sold a second for 1 Key, 1 Ref.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12728465 --- 1:1 for Half-Pipe (No established price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12726128 --- Sold for 5 Refined.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12722439 --- Sold for 4 Refined.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12721561 --- Sold for 3 Craft hats (4 Ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12719091 --- Sold for 1 Key.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12718415 --- Sold for 4.66 (Even with lvl 100?! What were you thinking?!)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12714407 --- Sold for 4 Ref (Supposedly)
Buyers:
Offers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12550205 --- 3.66, is considering. (Does he even see the 1 Key offer?)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12707597 --- C/O 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12607614 --- Multiple offers, two at 4 ref, the lowest being 3.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12542548 --- Offers for 1 Key, lowest being 4 Ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12702306 --- Offers for 1 Key failing, buyer wants 4 Ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12541447 --- One offer for 4 Refined, lowered to 3.66, then to 3.33, still no luck. (Should've taken it, man)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12675136 --- One offer for 4 Refined, as well as some 1 Key offers (All rejected)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12604087 --- C/O 4.33
Hope this is enough to bring stability to this item!
looks good nice range ill vote
Super had 2 sell at 4 ref easy at 2.55
*Clears throat* It's easy to sell at 2.55 because it's easy to sell at 4. Please provide counter-proof. Otherwise your argument is invalid.
I myself didn't see a single seller at 2.55, only low-balling, unsuccessful buyers.