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Hi guys, this is my first suggestion so bare with me!!! :)
Sellers-unsold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12282877 2 weeks, wants lowest bp.tf price (3.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12552282 5 days, wants offers (has 0)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12158384 2 weeks, wants 3.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12748461 1 day, 3.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12712489 2 days, 3 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12765907 13 hours, 3.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12640601 3 days, 0 offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12770975 10 hours, 3.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12707274 2 days, 3.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12774177 9 hours, 2.66 (quicksell?)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12695183 2 days, 0 offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12766703 12 hours, 3.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12597635 4 days, 3.33
Sellers-sold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11089873 3.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12703814 3 ref (my trade)
Proof by Wesley:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12652051 3 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12621803 3 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12670292 2.66 ref (quicksell?)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12637480 1.66 (quicksell?)
As you can see, there are sellers within 3-3.33 ref. They seem to be sold most at 3 ref or below but 3.33 is possible. Anything above isn't. 3-3.33 sounds like a good range as no one will buy higher then 3.33 (it is max) and most will look around 3 ref or a bit lower (min. price).
Proof looks good, upvote.
I like how you trolled me by changing your comment :P Thanks, man.
I misread it and I'm very tired, looks great for a first suggestion. Might want to organize your sellers-unsolds by time or value though
Only three sales at 3 ref, I'm not sure of the low end. 3.66 doesn't belong though.
Most people are selling at 4 ref and have no buyers so proof is limited. However, I know due to some people's desperation, they would fall to this price. Look at the comment under you.
I just negotiated with the seller in the fifth link, bought it for 2.66 :)
This definitely could use a drop