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I can't seriously believe it's been like a week and none of the cooler keys have got a price yet. I'll just take care of it. Be warned though, this will take all of the recent suggestions space.
Selling/Sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12533628 - Selling for 1 key + 3 ref (2 added posts)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12541302 - Bought 5 buds for 16 random keys each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12785624 - 2:3, sold none so far.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12788609 - 1 key + 2 ref each (Sold one aqua, one brown and and unknown amount of keys of unknown colors to 2 other people.)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12579400 - Red and Aqua 1 key + 2 ref (Sold 2 Aqua)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12770360 - 1 key + 2 ref each (Sold Red, Brown and Yellow.)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12800189 - 1 key + 1.33 each (Sold Red)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12591665 - 1:2, 2:3 (and several other equivalent amounts, sold a few apparently.)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12761502 - Red for 1 key + 2 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12715663 - Selling 1 key + 3 ref each (Out of stock: Red, Aqua, Yellow, Green and Brown.)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12800725 - All colors, 1 key and 2 ref each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12606444 - Sold many of all colors at various prices. (Red ~6.55)
Buying
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12607118 - Bought 9 at 1 key + 0.33 each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12600231 - Buying 1 key + 0.33 each, bought 1 (orange?)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12777277 - Sold buds for 20 random keys (buds being at 23 keys, each is ~1.2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12534907 - Paying key + 0.33 each, 3 added posts (1 red)
Steam Community Market
Red - http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Red%20Summer%202013%20Cooler%20Key
Median sales of all color keys is $2.20 (~1.2 keys)
Note: Trades with ambiguous colors of keys are included in all of the suggestions. Buyers @ 1 key have got nothing (thus are not included). 1.1 range is supported by the buyers at around key and 0.66 and the community market (keys being at ~$1.80). 1.5 is the highest amount that (decent) people pay. People asking for 1.7+ keys can't get their keys sold either, so that's off the range.
Don't you need 200x more proof for a key suggestion to be approved?
Go on outpost and tell me if you can find anything else. I made it 99.9% sure that i included all posts containg them (excluiding item offers) at the time of writing. These aren't ont 50+ pages on outpost like normal keys y'know.
Selling at 1 key
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12769283[/url]
I found that trade in less than a minute. Prove to me that higher prices cannot be achived, and maybe I'll consider upvoting. No, dont go tell me to look at how hard evidence is to get, I dont care, it's your job, not mine.
Just got back~(btw, "at the time of writing")
The link you provided is a quicksale, and a single sale doesn't reflect the whole market.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12691880 - 1.75 keys each, or 3:5. That's all I had at 1.7, now if you look at 2 keys sellers they haven't sold anything (after the first few hours since the update)