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Sellers at 1 key :
Classified Listings : http://i.imgur.com/L4FmaIA.png (3 sellers at 1 key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12848149
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12795057
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12750175
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12845865
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12844182
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12786190
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12826856 (compatriot+ref for 1 key item)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12814221
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12803011
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12782063 (sold for a key)
Unsold at any higher then 1 key :
http://i.imgur.com/L4FmaIA.png (same screen from up there, both sellers at 1.5 keys are unsold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12774554
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12763693
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12813150
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12750175
(hard to find unsolds as a lot of the trades are new or unbumped, or sellers for 2 keys)
Upvote for me.
All these new hats are all rapidly falling in price.
http://gyazo.com/768d9a986c345d21c1fb2bc18d57ca4f
Sold for a key, upvote :)
Traded 1.2keys+ for compatriot ( not sure )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12850799
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12840528
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12839058 <--- 2 keys for compatriot
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12833827
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12832581
I'm not sure if you meant to add counter-proof or additional proof.
Anyway, those links can't be used as counter-proof, it's like I'll put up a trade that I'm paying 10 ref for a key, I'm paying more then the real price of the key, but it doesn't show that the price of a key is 10 ref. Just so as your links, these people paying more then real price of the compatriot, but it doesn't show that the price of the compatriot is 2 keys or whatever.
Ok so please explain how do we provide counter proof if you just brush off anything that disproves your suggestion? Those are valid offers.
solds for higher then 1 key or unsolds at 1 key
And counter-proof is always welcome.
I'm not "brushing off anything that disproves my suggestion", I just said that his links isn't a good counter-proof, and I said it pretty politely.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12850799
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12840528
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12839058 <--- 2 keys for compatriot
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12833827
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12832581
Hey look its 5 offers of more than 1 key and likely most of them sold!
If I will put up a trade, that I'm paying a key for a scrap, and I'll make a suggestion with this trade, you will count that as proof? I'm paying more then the real price of the scrap. This is just the same. These people paying more then the real price of the item. It's their matter. It doesn't mean that the compatriot worth 2 keys.
this is your problem: You are assuming before hand that the price of the compatriot is 1 key. So when someone shows you 5 people who offer more, you say that "they are paying more than the real price of the item". HOW DO YOU KNOW WHAT THE REAL PRICE OF THE ITEM IS? Someone shows you 5 people who offer over one key but you insist that the real price of the item = 1 key. You are essentially ignoring the counterproof becuase you already got it in your head that the real price of the item is 1 key.
What if I showed you 10 people offering more? 15? 25? 100?
Do you think this is a proof :
http://bazaar.tf/trade/316068
Do you think now the price should be 18 keys ?
While I know agree I was wrong about the "real price" thing, I still don't think this kind of buyers should be a good counter-proof.
Ok and that is the reason I am not closing this suggestion, becuase I also believe that your suggestion has merit.
What got me riled up was that you were disclaiming those 5 links because you already had a predetermined price and anything above that "must be outlier"
That kind of logic is why the fantasy world of Darwinism exists in our scientific community today.
Good counterproof. 1 keys is in the range, it doesn't make sense to take 1.5 keys out when there are still 1.5 key sales. The item never was, nor ever will be, worth 2 keys, but for now it's still sellable for 1 and some ref. Downvote from me.
they're perfectly fine counter proof. The big mann on campus is 1.5-2 keys (traded for compatriot twice), the muffler is 1.2 keys (traded for it once), he has a sale for 2 keys, and he has a brown cooler key (which are worth like 1.3 keys) for it. All of these sales are from yesterday or 2 days ago. Once again, too many sales above 1 key to take 1.5 out of the range.
You didn't understand what we was arguing about. I agree that those items are above 1 key, I claimed that this kind of buyers are not a good counter-proof, because they might pay more then the (maybe) real price of an item. For example, I can put up a trade that im paying a bud for a bill's, I agree that buds are worth more then a bill, but this is my matter if I'm overpaying on the item I'm buying.
As of now the "real price" of the item, as you like to call it, is 1-1.5 keys. Until your suggestion is accepted 1 key is most certainly not the real price of the item. That whole "real price" argument is completely invalid, as it assumes this price suggestion is perfect in every way and there is nothing possible that could mean it's not accurate.
You are saying exactly what sir jon said, but I agree with you.
Good, because you have about as much proof as their is counterproof XD
I provided some more proof sir.
Great. You've convinced me enough to switch my vote to undecided, even though I own and love this item, but i'm still leaning toward a downvote as 1 and ref is still possible.
what ur saying doesnt make sense, it should be unsuccessful buying for 1 key, who wouldnt pay 1 key for that, when its priced at higherprice?
I'm not sure for which comment you related to, but you are asking who wouldn't pay 1 key for the compatriot, when it's priced at higher price. The answer is everyone. Everyone will pay 1 key for this item, but almost no one will pay a higher price. That's exactly the intention of my suggestion, and that's the reason I'm suggesting this new price, to show that the current price is outdated. To show that everyone can buy compatriot for a key, and higher price range is unnecessary, as the market flooded with 1 key sellers, I provided links to a lot of them in the proof down below.
Got one for 2.55 the other day
http://i.imgur.com/P6fWuyi.png
Good for you, but I can't suggest price around that with only 1 sale.
One sale doesn't define a market price.
He's just showing how happy he is with the new item, nothing wrong with that :)
No, was just supporting your change, I am not saying that you should change the whole suggestion, just saying that it is defiantly going down...
oh ok sry then :). Off course all summer items are going down. The update has been over a week now so most of them will drop fast. Just look at the appetizer items. Most of them are 1.33 & only the brotherhood has a decent price now but still dropped a couple of keys in a month.
oh no I just un-boxed one and I cant trade it until July 23 do you think it will still be at least 4 ref?
I believe it will be more then 4 ref in the next 3 days, but this is not the place for discussions :P
Sorry first day using bp.tf through steam
I don't think it will drop THAT fast, 4 ref will be a quicksell within 3 days probably :)
http://i.imgur.com/h5obG0u.png I sold one for 1key+1ref, the trade was only up for about 3 hours
1 Link is not enough for counter-proof
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12896204
Seeing how fast I can sell mine for a key each. So far one within one minute of posting.
Edit: Sold another within minutes of posting.
That's very nice.
This might be considered a quicksale price at the moment. Selling 2 within minutes for 1 key each is very...fast for a random misc.
not really. I provided 13 links of people selling for a key I didn't saw them saying quicksell or fast add me. If you really want let me search 20 sec to find another seller for a key. Generally there are plenty of sellers for a key each.
There is a point where quantity makes it so the price isn't really a quicksale anymore. But to me, if they sell this fast at 1 key, the price might be fine as it is.
Some sellers went even lower, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12853511 ,
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12857004 ,
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12861077 ,
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12892370.
I think that ~5 ref is more quicksell.
Or even like this http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12891400
the compatriot for 3 ref item. Yes that might be a quicksell, but 1 key ? nope.
I see. I was really already for this, most new items drop very quickly and I was surprised this was even worth 1 key as is. :P
And I just sold the last of them.
http://imgur.com/c7LHYj4
Very nice, not as fast as the first one, but still pretty fast :D
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12896980 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12897061 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12885269 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12881264 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12865763 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12896204 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12892370 - 5 ref sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12895928 - 1 key (or two scout items)
All found on the first page of Outpost.
I don't think these are quicksells at all, some are up for several hours. Upvote from me.
Unsold links must be at least 1 day old and bumped, I'll be glad if you can provide some other links for counter-proof.
I don't know if you see this Mister Sir J-j-jon [Warrior of Redwall], but I appreciate the fact that you didn't closed it right away or used your admin "veto" force when discussing with me. (somehow I can't comment below your last comment)
I'm adding some additional proof (with the original one)
More sellers at 1 key :
http://i.imgur.com/L4FmaIA.png (3 sellers at 1 key)
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/id/76561198063067537
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/id/76561197993315955
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12885752
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12895031
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12848149
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12795057
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12750175
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12845865
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12844182
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12871336
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12888715
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12786190
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12814221
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12803011
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12889082
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12782063
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12896204
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12897061
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12885269
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12865763
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12895928
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12896980
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9641337
More unsolds at any higher then 1 key : (very hard to find as most of market is selling for 1 key, or higher then 1.5, or new or unbumped...)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12703943
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12813150
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12859025
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12774554
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12763693
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12813150
Notable trades :
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12857767
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12861077
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12826856
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12892370
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12891400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12857004
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12853511
I hope this is enough to show you that the compatriot sold very well for a key, and sellers around 1.5 keys not doing well. As you can see there are already sellers below 1 key, but not enough to suggest a bigger drop. Have a nice day, comments welcome.