Price Suggestion
~1.66 ref
Unique Delinquent's Down Vest
1285 votes up
287 votes down
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This suggestion was closed by A Distinctive Lack of Vincent.

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Comments

Welp, messed it up twice. Maybe this will finally work.


Classifieds:

Link: http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/30134/6/0

Screenshot: http://imgur.com/bmoh5Or

-1 at 1.5 keys

-1 at 1.9 keys

-1 at 1.95 keys

-1 at 11 ref

-12 at 2 keys


Unsolds for 2 Keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12755236 - 5 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12837782 - 3 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12832217 - 3 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12842470 - 3 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12855031 - 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12846939 - 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12864395 - 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12851465 - 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12879304 - 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12873723 - 1 day


Young Unsolds for 2 Keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12904887

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12909513

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12918434

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12934868

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12940652

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12928409

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12927772

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12942318

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12940759

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12941847

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12942871


Selling/Sold in Suggested Range (1.4-1.8 Keys):

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9639956 - 1.82 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12872816 - 1.77 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12784655 - 1.77 keys (if you buy both)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12889170 - 1.71 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12888702 - 1.71 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12895021 ~ 1.59 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12872331 - 1.53 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12882403 - 1.53 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12882285 - 1.53 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12897258 - 1.53 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12935074 - 1.50 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12910413 - 1.47 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12930240 - 1.41 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12920777 - 1.36 keys


Notes:

Keys are assumed to be 5.66 refined each for the purpose of this suggestion.


Conclusion:

This item is at a pretty obvious standstill at 2 keys, no willing buyers since many pop up for cheaper. Sellers are hard pressed to get 2 keys when so many more of these keep entering the market. There are sellers below the suggested range as well, but they typically had several comments stating "added" and can be assumed quicksells for now.

there's no reason to include the first unsolds, they got no bumps for almost a week ago some of them. Seeing that most of them are being advertised for 2 keys I will suggest you still include 2 keys in the Price range, because it's not impossible to sell this for 2 keys and advertising them at lower than 2 keys is still not a trend.


I will suggest you trying to make a more conservative Price drop

I voted yes . Because after the holidays, and so far as the price drops from the track Terrorizer

    same as with suggestions, you should vote based on facts and evidence - not just because it makes sense to you that the price would change

    I bought one for one key: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12866285


    The price needs to go down on most summer items

      in your post you specified you were quickbuying those items, so it was a quickbuy

        Sorry, i'm kind of new to this sight. I wasn't aware that quickbuys didn't count

      Nice proof :) Upvote, wanna get me one of these myself!

        so you only want this to drop so you can buy one cheap? Do you even took the time to open the links of the unsolds to see that most of them are sold for 2 keys and this suggestion is trying to discard 2 keys from the Price range?

          Check backpacks over closed trades, many sellers in the second bunch that are "sold" still have the item in their backpack and just relisted.

            can you be more specific of which links? I already checked the backpacks of the ones I marked as sold for 2 keys, and they don't have that specific item, consider that some of those ads are people who got several pieces or they uncrate / buy more and keep selling them, that's why they appear to be "unsolds".

              Your whole comment sums up why unsolds generally aren't good proof. I think that enough sales are happening in my suggested range to encourage a drop, since this is a new crate item and literally thousands are being added a day to the game.

                you are just evading the fact that there's proof that this sells for 2 keys and you are trying to discard 2 keys from the range, also try checking backpack history or just simply by comparing item levels between the one being advertised and the one that it's in the backpack so you can see what I'm talking about,

              no, the ones who are selling another down vest are not relisted. If you check they have different level, one person did relist but sold his for a S. shotgun

            Thankfully the entire community isn't like you,otherwise buds would worth a scrap.

              every seller in the classifieds that were selling below 2 keys has sold. not sure if 1.4 keys is a bit low.

                bigg mann of campus is the new shirt with less demand, there's more outpost ads than this one, and it's 1.5- 2 keys, seems that the one that should be dropped to 1.4-1.8 keys should be Bigg mann of campus not this.

                  I noticed, and every one at 2 keys still has it. The classifieds are a pretty good indicator at which price moves.

                    just consider this suggestion was made more than 2 days ago, and you are checking ads that are more recent than this suggestion, because the ones that you posted as "Young unsolds" most of them are sold. So this must be totally sold out from the whole market in order to you can close this suggestion?

                  seems 1.7-1.8 would be more accurate since almost all the 1.7 has sold and you had 3 trades for 1.4

                    agreed it costs WAY too much right now some of the new items really need a fix.

                    Your 2 keys unsolds keep selling:

                    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12842470 sold for 2 keys

                    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12855031 sold for 2 keys

                    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12851465 sold for 2 keys

                    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12873723 sold for 2 keys


                    This add to the previous links I posted, making now at least 9 links of sold for 2 keys at the moment of posting this comment

                      I really suspect that this is happening because of the current price listing here on backpack. Seems like the price should be dropped a bit, but 2 keys should be the upper bound of the range.

                        I was thinking of maybe a 1.8-2 keys range will be fine, but is very hard to find one of this for less than 2 keys, actually finding one for less than 2 keys is even more rare than finding one for more than 2 keys

                      Unsolds links must be bumped. So most of your unsold link can't be used as proof. That's mean links 1, 6, 7, 8 and 9. So all of you unsold links are finally sold/unbumped. Not only that, link no. 7 is asking for higher then 2 keys (2 summer keys>2 regular keys) so it's not even in current range, and it can't be used as proof, again. Young unsold for 2 keys are not proof either, as few hours trade can't be used as proof.

                        If you don't mind me asking, how can you guys tell whether something is being bumped? Obviously you can see if the trade was bumped recently and when it was originally made, but people always seem to know exactly how many times it's been bumped and I don't see where they're getting that info.

                        IDK if 2 keys should be removed just yet. I just sold mine for 2 keys and it was up for 13 hours (5-6 hours being actively bumped due to sleep).

                        http://i.imgur.com/RorzwW7.jpg

                          just found another one sold for 2 keys http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12945556

                          of the 3 keys he got on his backpack, 2 came from the new owner of the vest.

                            xD I can't even upvote, it's maxed out already.

                              I reccomend a range of 1.5-2 keys, as people have seemed to sell easily at 2 keys

                              Undecided atm.

                                Too many sales at 2 keys for that to be taken out of range. A more conservative drop is needed here.


                                Closing due to counterproof in comments.