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4 month old price and the value seems to have lowered a bit despite the rarity.
Due to a complaint in my earlier suggestion I narrowed the overall range since people seem to be willing to pay 1.33 buds for it.
Here is a list of all open trades for this hat:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11441254 (Willing to sell for 1 bud 8 keys (~1.36), Has offer of 1 bud and hats, same guy is willing to pay the 1.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12615085 (Would sell for 1.33, Has offer of 1 bud 2 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12924528 no offers, no b/o
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/3350498 B/O of 3 buds, no recent offers
-_____________________- There is still no proof of this range though because those are only b/o's and the offers are below that.
Wait for better offers and actual transactions.
Read the trade, the guy is getting the keys. Also why would suggest the range 1.3-1.4 in my other suggestion and now argue against it. I'll take my chances and ignore your opinion this time, given the 85% agreement rate I had in the previous suggestion.
Ok, I didn't see the guy willing to pay 1 bud 8 keys. That's better. Upvote I guess.