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3 months old price, barely any of these on the market.
Sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12426486 - 4.33, 2 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13057445 - 4 ref each (x3), 11 hours
Rest of sellers are at 5 ref/1 key etc.
Sold
http://bazaar.tf/trade/325025 - Seems to have sold at 4.66, I guess? None in backpack.
Conclusion
Barely any proof for this. Im not sure if the 4.66 sold or whatnot, and a guy is selling 3 @ 4 ref each. Most likely not going to pass, but lets be optimistic! :D
Help / Consturctive Criticisim / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! :D
Most of the sellers are actually selling for extremely high prices, and not enough proof provided to actually change a price like this.
These things will eventually become collectors items, it's just that people are holding on to them for that market boom.
Anywho it's a downvote from me due to poor proof (I know it's hard to find).
P.S. You're first proof for 4.33 is void since it is actually used (19 uses left) :P
Ahh, man. This is a tough one. Less than a page on outpost, and the first link is invalid because of what Andrew said.
Your second link has one sold, however. You're only trying to prove that it's possible to sell for 4 ref, so with that, I'm actually going to upvote.