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Back to basically my old suggestion, after browsing outpost, I felt I should at least try, sorry Phanatic :)
It's been quite a while since the price of this has been changed, also I believe that a key was equal to around 3.33 when this price was made? xD
Well, here's some proof
Classifieds: http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/61/11/0
At time of posting 3 under 1 key: http://imgur.com/TqXXtkD
Selling/sold for less than 1 key (5.72)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13067296 - 4 refJust realised o.0http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13073571 - 4.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13055172 - 4.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13060247 - 4.66
http://imgur.com/aZijyZ7 - 5 ref (backpack.tf)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13109670 - 5 ref
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9656230 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13068076 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13058434 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13086813 - >5 ref :3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13078066 - 5.22
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13056140 - 5.22
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13088869 - 5.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13109713 - 5.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13084802 - 5.33 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13079444 - 5.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13075263 - 5.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13048288 - 5.38 (Pay one key he adds one rec)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13095757 - (My trade, but only sold for 5.33 http://imgur.com/shriuml
It still seems as though it is possible to sell for 1 key, though not too many:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13106692
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13097723
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13094896
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12430881
Any unsolds at 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13067296
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13017934
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12401420
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12410338
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13048965
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12834995
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12576946 - 3 days now
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12682305
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12410338
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12791865
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12910423
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12928787
A lot of them seem to go unsold.
From what I've seen, people are willing to sell this for lower than 1 key, I believe it should be added into the range of this strange.
Thanks for reading my suggestion, constructive feedback is much appreciated!
Upvote, easely bought many for less, hard to sell for a key
Your unsold link 1 had multiple in stock and apparently sold at least 3.
Some of the five hour ones are sold within minutes of posting.
... Personally I don't see enough proof here. Staying neutral for now. Also, since keys are the preferred trading currency, I would re-suggest at 0.9-1 Key range, unless you can prove most are selling for refined now. It may help with consideration.
they all sold within the same day they were posted, seems a bit quick. (the less then a key ones)
counterproof by phanatic from your old suggestion:
Sold for 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13055588
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13057910
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13063002
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13066806
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13068029
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13068730
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13069798
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13070064
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13075598
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13076356
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13077584
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13079225
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13080350
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13083142
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13095757
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13094896
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13098052
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13102713
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13106692
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13107481
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13108068
I'm not sure, I agree with that proof but I thought I was only adding a lower range. 5.66 is essentially 1 key, so all I was doing was keeping 1 key in the range, and adding 5 ref to the low end.
Is it really counter-proof?
Sorry if my suggestion caused any misunderstandings, or if this message really doesn't clarify (or make any sense) :P
but if it mainly sells for in a key price, price should be in keys.
Wesley is correct. There may be room for argument on 0.9-1 keys, though even that may be probelmatic- as pointed out in the comments, 5 ref seems likely to be a quicksell.
Closing due to unnecessarilly switching to ref when majority are selling in keys and the potential for lower range being a quicksell price.
What I could find, even through the fog of drowsiness:
Solds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13074428 --- Sold for 5.55
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13064525 --- Traded 2:1 for S. Revolver and Knife
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13075263 --- Sold for 5.33
Solds at 5 Ref or lower:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13068076 --- Sold within 3 minutes of posting at 5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13060247 --- Sold all three within mere seconds at 4.66.
From what I could gather, this MAY need a drop, but 5 Ref looks like a quick-sell to me...
I don't know...