Price Suggestion
~3.05 ref
Strange Reserve Shooter
269 votes up
59 votes down
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Comments

Note. There aren't actually that many for sale. Page 4 on outpost already has trades >1 hour old. So this is pretty good sample size.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13069654 - true quicksell

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13100458 - 4 - quicksell

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13061732 - 4 - quicksell

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9660757 - 4 - quicksell

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13115701 - 4.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13073200 - 4.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13074765 - 4.33 (still unsold after bumps?)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13103788 - 4.4 (still unsold after remaking his trade)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13094478 - 4.55

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13070673 - 4.66 (has an add, but hasn't sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13071217 - 4.77 (still unsold after bumps)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13108506 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13108199 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13107303 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13090444 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13088025 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13087718 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13077887 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13102697 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13092031 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13074428 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13059966 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13104553 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13059723 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13058677 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13040472 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13048196 - 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12796604 - 5 - afk?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13019927 - 5 - 3 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13058670 - 5 - 2 days on autobump, lowered his price from 5.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13050207 - 5 - 2 days on autobump

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13019739 - ~5 - 3 days on autobump

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13046353 - 5 - lowered price to 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12718454 - 5 - has sold 1 in a week?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12843905 - 5

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9656125 - 5


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12825374 - 5.22 - unsold at 2 weeks, sold his other stuff

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12836657 - 5.33 - unsold at 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12952296 - 5.5 ref - unsold for 5 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12473560 - 1 key - unsold, autobumped 2 weeks


Yes, a few still sell at ~1 key, but just as many getting sold under 4.66. And the market is pretty full with 5 ref trades. If you look at all sellers at the current high end, they are selling all the other stuff in their trades before they sell their reserve shooter.

    Alright, i've looked through a fair amount of your proof and noticed a good amount of flaws. A good amount are sold, some are mislabeled which drives me up the wall, and most are unlabeled which also drives me up the wall.


    I would suggest marking your trades for time, sold marks, and just generally more organized proof. You have put a fair amount of work getting this proof but the way you presented it isn't great. For now I will hold my vote.

      I almost never differentiate sold from unsold on my suggestions (unless there is a glaring need to). Here there are loads available for 5 ref and several for less.


      EDIT: And I have now clicked through every single one and don't see any mislabeled. The only ones that have changed are ones that have sold since the time I posted this. They were unsold when I posted.

        While I do agree there are a good amount being sold for 5 refined, you need to show us that people aren't buying at 5 ref by dates.


        But the most important thing you're missing here 5.11+ ref trades that are unsold. You have a few trades with this but you're lacking in proof. Again I will hold my vote until you can provide further proof.

          There are only 4 pages of valid trades on outpost (trades that are actually getting bumped). I included all the relevant trades already. At the time the previous suggestion was made, 5.55 ref was supposed to represent a key. All the sellers (the ones I have not already included) are selling for a key which would be meaningless to include now since that is above the current range. Remove all those trades and you are left with VERY few that are bumped, people not afk and still 5 days old. I have included all such trades already.


          I will be letting my proof stand as is unless this is open for >24 h when I will look for fresh trades.

            As far as I can tell I m not sure how unsolds are valid proof anyway main point is there are tons available at 5 ref and arent sold too quick so it s fine proof

            But there are some 5+ solds but personally havent paid even low end for item.for quite a long time and dont understand why to pay more (actually I would be happy if I could sell mine for key) so it s about stupid people again and dont know what to think about. I think bear did a GJ but staying neutral too

        Just sold mine for 5.55 2 days ago.


        http://i46.photobucket.com/albums/f143/Budi1782/ReserveShooterSale_zpsee253fc1.jpg


        Not sure if I agree with removing 5-5.55 from the range based on 4 unsolds. You are going to need a lot more proof than that to remove such a large part of the range.

          There aren't many on the market. And for every sale at 5.55 there is one under 4.66. And even the ones at 4.33-4.44 don't sell instantly

        When I wanted to buy mine, I saw every prices within the current range, but I mostly saw prices like 4.88 or 5 ref. They were already bought, for most of them (See the links from the author)

        Upvote.

          Just sold it for 5,55 refined

          http://imgur.com/pkAymCs

            Again, not many of these available, but since I posted this suggestion just 17 hours ago, all of these trades have popped up:

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13138018 - 4

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13103788 - 4.2

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13125273 - 4.66

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13023018 - 4.66 - lowered his price after selling most of his other stuff

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13130287 - 5

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13137612 - 5

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13135576 - 5

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13134054 - 5

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13126406 - 5

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13133471 - 5

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13131816 - 5

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13139752 - 5

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13137769 - 5

            http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9662728 - 5

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13049044 - 5 - couldn't sell for 5, ended up selling here - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13052213


            And a few more 5-5.55 sellers that are unsold after >5 days

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12994033 - 5.33 - autobumped, 5 days

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12912979 - 5.55

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12605955 - 2 weeks autobumped. at the time he posted his trade, keys were ~5.55. he has sold all his other stuff in the meantime

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12591682 - 5.66


            Again, buyers selling similar stranges at the high end bp values are selling their reserve shooters last. 5.55 as the high end is clearly too high. And 5 ref sitting for several days is clearly too long to be low-middle value for a strange.