Classifieds:

Link: http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/30137/6/0

-Absolutely nothing

Solds in Range (3.00-3.66):

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13067788 - 3.00

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13064375 - 3.00

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13071637 - 3.00

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13111314 - 3.00

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13111160 - 3.00

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13074538 - 3.00

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13065613 - 3.00

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13086116 - 3.00

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13091471 - 3.00

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13092824 - 3.00

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13092362 - 3.11

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13068774 - 3.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13084662 - 3.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13087309 - 3.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13088379 - 3.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13122689 - 3.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13110784 - 3.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13123669 - 3.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13096912 - 3.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13091773 - 3.44

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13070380 - 3.49

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13093256 - 3.55

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13098343 - 3.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13095072 - 3.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13085730 - 3.66

Active Sellers in Range (3.00-3.66):

http://bazaar.tf/trade/326527 - 3.00

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13111160 - 3.00

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13087097 - 3.22

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12984715 - 3.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13123669 - 3.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13119657 - 3.66, 2 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13068388 - 3.66, 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13084185 - 3.66, 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13037665 - 3.66, 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13048448 - 3.66, 2 days

Unsolds Above Range:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13122324 - 4.00, 1 hour

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13109358 - 4.00, 11 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13102959 - 4.00, 16 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13097945 - 4.00, 20 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13084185 - 4.00, 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13081365 - 4.00, 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13080128 - 4.00, 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13087384 - 4.00, 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13042107 - 4.00, 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13053777 - 4.00, 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13025657 - 4.00?, 3 day

Conclusion:

This misc isn't moving much at 4.00 ref, and not a whole lot at 3.66 either. There's solds out there in the 2.00-3.00 range as well, but they sell in under an hour and are pretty obvious quicksells. There are some solds at 3.66 however so I'll keep it in this super conservative range since realistic price drops are too edgy, even if an item is abundantly cheaper for lower then a high end.