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[Proof below] - This hat is 1 of 1 and these are all the sales I have been able to gather and also what they sold for to the best of my detective ability.
Overpay has been calculated on every sale. All sales and outliers are in chronological order.
Active Trade
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13050684 - No offers, unbumped since creation.
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12691637
????
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12652035 For Memory Leak Dragonborn Helmet (~ 3.1 buds) - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12665849
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12255828 - For Knifestorm Gentleman's Gatsby (~ 3.5 buds) -
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12405726
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11561687
????
Outliers
One was a quickseller and the another 'settled' for an 2 bud unusual offer because nothing else decent was coming along. Therefore all sales around the listed quicksell I have decided to label as outsiders.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12725611 - For Burning Flames Hard Counter (~ 2 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12576179 - For Orbiting Fire Hustler Hallmark (~1.5 buds) - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12497333
Cannot find evidence it was sold for 5 buds like trade owner mentioned in his notes.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12255828 - For Sunbeams Western Wear (~ 2.1 buds) - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12180806
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10926005 - For Purple Confetti Defiant Spartan (~ 1.4 buds) -
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10978163
So this what I could find. Feedback is appreciated. Just one more suggestion to get accepted and I get that Orange star! :D
The one you are saying sold for a PC Spartan actually sold for a PC Spartan + PC Western + PC Gatsby + 1 bud = ~3.85 buds counting overpay or at least was offered that, if that changes anything :/ They were also reserving for someone gathering 4 pure too
They were on a server so whether they are legitimate or not is debatable. I am no taking in to account retracted offers only sales.
Look at the link you posted yourself, at the top of the notes "CURRENTLY RESERVED TO SOMEONE UNTIL THE END OF 5/20/13 WHO MAY BE PAYING 4 PURE." and the C/O of "P Fetti Spartan, P Fetti Western Wear, P Fetti Gatsby + 1 Bud"
If people are willing to pay more than the current range it proves the range wrong, it's how you raise the price range of an unusual like I did, with offers of more than the current range
you just modified your answer completely ;/
Sorry about that but their offers never went through and with a hat that has no price currently sales are essential, offers are usually all over the place and we have no idea if the 4 bud offer was legitimate or not because there is no proof of it.
You can try contacting him and asking for proof otherwise I can't really vote
I've tried this before it always fails. Vote as you wish but I'm still gonna stick with the range I've already got in this suggestion. Thank you for the feedback anyhow. :)
Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12691637
????
--> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12725438 phosphor pugilist, that guy clearly is an unexperienced trader so this trade should not count:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12652035 For Memory Leak Dragonborn Helmet (~ 3.1 buds) - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12665849
Also his b/o was 2 buds or 2.5 in unusuals, so that is clearly an outlier.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12255828 - For Knifestorm Gentleman's Gatsby (~ 3.5 buds) -http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12405726
NOT TRUE, he sold both of this hats for it: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12377585
So the price is something around 2 buds.