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~12 keys
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Unusual Human Cannonball Nuts n' Bolts
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12859379 Offers of a Searing Nanobalaclava, a bit over 1.3 buds after overpay. There's also an offer of a Bill's, 8 keys, 5 keys in items, and an SF Grenade launcher, which ends up around 1.3 buds. Lastly, an offer of 28 keys, which is just below 1.3 buds! What a coincidence.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9065214 Same offer of 28 keys, as well as an offer of Bill's + 22 keys, which ends up... at 1.35 buds!

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8043040 Same owner of the previous trade. Offer of a green energy Mongolian, which ends up... at 1.29 buds.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12758581 Same offer as above, Bills + pure keys + sweets totaling to about... 1.27 buds (he removed a key of items). Seems to have went through.

Well, there seems to be an abundance of 1.3 offers, and the occasional sale at this price. I'm keeping the 1.4 in the range, because without it, we'd have a rangeless hat, and that wouldn't go well. That and I was told to put the high end slightly above the common offers, so there we go.

    Second and third link: The offers you are speaking of are pretty old, so not really valid anymore. 1 bud + 5 keys or 28 keys seems to be offered quite some times (1.2 buds). but they are not accepted so I guess it's fine.