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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13113282
Sold for Smoking Mountain Cap (20-22)
He added Kringle Collection (1.3-1.5)
http://imgur.com/IRLkirS
21 x 0.9 = 18.9 (unusual overpay) + 1.3 = 20.2
In my opinion, for lower unusuals, it is better to just take the low end to account for overpay. But this is pretty close despite which method you use, so it looks fine to me.