Trade #1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12542580

Offers:

- Green Energy Phantom (~5 buds)

- Steamig Killer Exclusive (~4 buds)

- Cloudy Moon Backbiter's Billycock (~3 buds)

Sold for Steaming Defiant Spartan, Steaming Cyborg Stunt Helmet, and a bud (~3 buds, but most likely a little less)

Check Histories: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12803208 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12803430

- Confirmation by friend of seller: http://i.imgur.com/5NjCVxJ.png

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Trade #2: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12803074

Sold for level 1 Max Head: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13016441

Possible Sweets on either side are unknown

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Trade #3: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13018552

Buyout of 2 buds; which aides the idea that it was only traded pretty close to 1:1 with Max Head

Note: seems to have sold rather rapidly as trade was closed in under an hour.

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Trade #4: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13114315

Current Owner with a buyout of 2.5-3.5 buds. Trade is 2 days old and unbumped.

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Conclusion: Its rather hard to say. It might have been the hype of the new effects that attributed to the original rather high offers. 2 buds might have been a quicksell even though it appears to have sold for that amount twice. Therefore I am pricing this unusual at 2-3 buds which fits within the current owner's buyout which is rather reasonable.