Price Suggestion
Strange Knife
Submitted by Fruit & Nori
~22.5 ref
Strange Knife
396 votes up
126 votes down
Advertisement
Related Suggestions

This suggestion was accepted by Horizon.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

First submission (sort of):


Resubmitted with more proof. Comments/suggestions are appreciated.


Here is the bulk of the Outpost trades, excluding items with parts and items that are part of "sets."


Selling/Sold @ 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13136383 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13135118 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13196639 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13136841 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13160114 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13174328 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13169909 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13038411 (sold 2)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13062836 (sold 2)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13048835 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13056134 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13023018 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12795004 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12982720 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13038411 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12799963 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13040872 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12997420 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13051811 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12989849 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12860847 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13052287 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12987079 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13044737 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13035245 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12565016 (sold 4)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13200436

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13183875

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13197448

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13002107

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13032682

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12850076

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13125393

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13160296

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13195581

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13138291

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12867565

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13021694

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13152489

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13149336

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13169750


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13126271 (sold for "backpack.tf price")


I can provide more selling at 2 ref if it is requested.


More sold @ 2:

http://i.imgur.com/QyqFD8z.png

http://i.imgur.com/2gUsCfr.png

http://i.imgur.com/qRkX4DZ.png

http://i.imgur.com/9ZuMYnv.png

http://i.imgur.com/ko4o0LR.png


Quick-selling @ < 2 ref

All of these trades sold quickly with very few page views.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13144504 - 1.66 (sold in < 1 day, 15 views before trade closed)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13160612 - 1.66 (sold in < 1 day, 20 views, poorly bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13156128 - 1.66 (sold in < 1 day, even though poorly bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13167646 - 1.66 (sold in < 1 day, 13 views before trade closed)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13166720 - 1.66 (sold in < 1 day, 9 views before trade closed)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13124648 - 1.66 (sold in < 1 day, 15 views before trade closed)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13123820 - 1.66 (sold in < 1 day, 16 views before trade closed)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13166002 - 1.66 (sold 3 in < 1 day, 35 views before trade closed)


Selling @ > 2 ref (outliers, mostly)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12916524 - 2.11

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6618590 - 2.33 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12383510 - 2.33 (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13134413 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12729092 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12571449 - 2.33


Backpack.tf

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/194/11/0

at time of writing:

1 seller @ 1.88 ref; 3 sellers @ >= 2 ref; the rest have strange parts.


Conclusion:


Sellers at 1.66 are uncommon and sell very quickly, with the majority of trades happening at 2 ref.


There are some trades at above 2 ref, but they don't seem to sell, aside from a few outliers.


---


I now await the storm of vitriolic comments

    That. Wall. Of. Proof @_@


    Looking at sales on trade.tf seems like nearly all sellers under 1.66 refs are taken pretty darn quickly for an item which is so abundant. You got my upvote unless someone posts valid counter proofs


    As a general tip dont list trades above the current price unless it has sold because they prove nothing, also lose the "====" lines, bold titles are enough for us to know what you are talking about. The lines makes it seem clustered making it more annoying to read :)


    Hope i helped

      Thanks for the comment!


      I'll be sure to improve on formatting for future suggestions.


      Also, wouldn't unsold trades above the suggested range prove that it shouldn't be higher than 2 ref? I'm not sure how that works, exactly.

        Since you're working within the current range you dont need to "reprove" the range

    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13126271 has a range, don't know which price he sold it for

    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13161537 still has it

    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13170867 doesn't say what the price was


    other than that, the proof seems good.


      I appreciate your comment!


      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13170867 listed the trade at 2 ref when I bookmarked it (I named the bookmarks based on price listed), but I guess he edited it when it was sold...


      I removed the mentioned trades from the proof.

      Well, looks like it might be about time to start collecting strange knives

        Can't edit my post anymore, so here's an update on one of the trades:

        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12867565 (sold)

          Excellent proof. Unless someone provides a bunch of counter proof, upvote.

          Good first suggestion! Upvote

              A few sales at the low end of the range is normal but his proof far outweighs your conunterproof

            For the first suggestion, you did... Amazing. Upvote!

              Just did a search on outpost, on the first page I already see plenty being sold for 1.66.


              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13207473

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13207362

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13206524

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13205861

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12950908 (1.88)

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12603768 (1.88)

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13196004


              I got lazy after that.


              2 ref is definitely the norm, but I'm seeing an endless wall of unsolds at that price. I know you'll say that it's normal to find some at the bottom of the range, and that those get snatched up in an instant - but it's easy to find this for less than 2 ref, and they're not even selling that quickly for 1.66.


              I see no reason to get rid of the range.

                Um those links are no longer than 1 hour old (a few of those are even only 10 mins...) ill probably give it some more time to see if they are actually sold.


                and the 3 links you have which are old enough to receive views have adds already.

                  Sure, they'll sell faster than the 2 ref listings. My point is that there are always more being listed at that price, which is exactly why those two that are selling for 1.8 are still unsold weeks later.

                    That is true however atm seems like 1.66 refs is sold fast and other traders are willing to pay for more from the comments which negates the need for 1.66 refs to be included.


                    Eg. there are some sellers for keys at 5 refs buy if they are taken up very fast it shows that it is "underpriced" or "quick sold" and should not be included as bp.tf reflects the prices which people can buy/sell their items with relative ease.


                    I can see you point but atm we'll need to wait to see if the links you've provided are actually quick sales. Seems like the first link if gone already :S

                  http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13207473 - sold within an hour. Fantastic proof that 1.66 is a quick-sell

                  http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13207362 - very young

                  http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13206524 - very young

                  http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13205861 - he is selling a s.knife with parts for a regular s.knife and a key. He is not selling a s.knife for 1.66.

                  http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13196004 - never bumped


                  As for the 1.88 ref trades:

                  http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12950908 (1.88) - Added multiple times by different people; he is either selling multiple knives or has not responded. The trade is on autobump

                  http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12603768 (1.88) - Apparently he has sold several for this price over the week. Somewhat valid as counterproof, but I'm not entirely sure a 1 scrap variance from my suggested range has any influence on 1.66 ref prices.

                  This obvious manipulation makes me think it's Offline's alt


                  I mean, suggestion looks good, upvote!

                    Someone called my first attempt at this suggestion a "manipulation." Could you elaborate on what that means, exactly?

                      Oh it's a joke, there's a user called Offline that makes suggestions that bump up prices of things he owns multiples of. Since you're a new suggester many people will accuse you (wrongfully in this case) of attempting to increase the value of things in your backpack to increase your backpack value. You'd be surprised how many first time suggesters try to open an increase with almost no proof to increase their value sometimes as little as one scrap.

                        Oh, that makes sense.


                        Now I know.

                        And knowing is half the battle.

                  Upvote, sold easely for 2.22 ref and hard to byu for 1.22

                    #RiseOfThe24


                    Kudos to an upvote towards an awesome crate! Good Spy items and only old unusual effects. Upchuck.

                      What can you say, excellent proof, immediate up-vote! ^^