last update was only accepted 5 hours ago, but i find his change to conservative.

offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10782098 offer of a craft hat (2x), 1.66, 1.33 + war pig (3 ref)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11599757 1.33 offer

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12752169 multiple 1.33 offers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12327996 multilpe 1.33 offers, 1.66 offer, offer of hero's hamachiki (2 ref)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10841490 1.66 offer

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11830770 1.66 offer

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6496545 1.44 offer

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12436643 1.33 offers

sold/willing buyer:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4959288 1.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/1650769 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10710766 massive amount of adds at 1.33

sales which had a trade open < a day:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13251318 instantly at 1 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13231109 instantly at 1 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13221432 instantly at 1 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13229644 instantly at 1 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13251024 within 9 hours at 1 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13250857 within 9 hours at 1 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13239756 within 16 hours at 1 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13238969 within 17 hours at 1.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13238796 within 2 hours at 1 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13256646 almost instantly at 1.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13204086 instantly at 1.33

unsuccesfull buyers at 1.33 or above:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13248351 1.33 for 11 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13207696 1.33 for 1 day (unbumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13240528 1.33 for 16 hours (unbumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13257567 1.33 for 2 hours (unbumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13257835 1.66 for 2 hours (unbumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13205838 cosa nostra (1.66), 1 day (unbumped)

succesfull buyers/willing seller:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13253898 craft hat

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13253645 craft hat

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13247680 2 ref item

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13249986 1.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13229328 1.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13228281 1.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13226630 1.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13207682 1.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13219700 1.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13219024 1.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13208622 1.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13224586 1.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13220431 1.44

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13220456 17.33 ref in items (he still has the items though, expect the shred alert, do not take this as proof, probbably fake/not traded)

so yeah, 1 ref happens really fast, alot of 1 ref buyers without succes (all < a day old so can't use them as proof, if asked i can list them anyway) multiple offers above 1.33, so added 1.66 to the range.