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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13049978
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13267988
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13195302
20 key offer (by the same guy) on all of the trades
one quickly retracted 21 promo offer
one standing 17 key promo offer
one b/o of 18 keys
First trade is extremely old in the history and has been swapped hands quite a few times since this one. Doing some digging I can't see any proof of what it sold for after working through the history of each person's trades after this hat was moved. So I don't see any proof of price for your range.
The other 2 are unsold, and buyouts/offers aren't proof.
Offers are definitely proof. B/Os are usually used to lower prices.
You're not lowering the price, you're raising it. So B/O really mean nothing here.
He mean that the offers are 20 but someone want just 18 keys so the range should be 18-20. See nothing about 17.