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Active sellers at time of posting (No parens afterwards means selling at 2.33):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13212076 (Selling for either 2.00 or 2.33, this guy doesn't know how to type English apparently)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12819612 (Selling for 2.55, 2 weeks old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13146075
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13186108 (Selling for 2 ref!)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13268336 (Also selling for 2 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13163050 (Selling for 2.44)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12819612 (2 weeks old, unsold at 2.55)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12744366 (2 weeks, unsold at 2.77
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13159664
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13229565 (Seems kinda shady actually, check the trade notes)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12991071 (Unsold at current bp.tf pricing)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13266940
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12990654 (Selling at 2.66, week old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13258467
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13160962 (Selling at 2.44, 4 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13101989 (Selling at 2.44, 5 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13177929 (Selling at 2.66, kinda young so I'm not too sure :/)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13255182 (Selling for 2.22)
VERY NEW TRADES FOR 2.66 (All of these are within 3 days old. If enough them get sold in the next 5 days then I'll close the suggestion):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13263723
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13281042
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13283335
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13269485
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13272027
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13216326
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13193409
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13259866
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13223125
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13246200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13275983
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13198323
More proof will be added as time goes on. More proof and counterproof appreciated.
Edit: In case anyone has questions, trades which are asking for more than the current value aren't considered at all, as they've been unsold for weeks on average.
Moar edit: It's my first suggestion, so try not to flame me too hard. I'd prefer my ass to be about medium rare at the most if you want to go that far.
there has to be proof that shows 2.33 is an easy sell
Well, if 2.33 isn't an easy sell then the price should be set lower. Right now, barely anyone is selling at less than 2.33 and the people who are buying for less than 2.33 either have no views on their trades or have no sellers offering to them.
Nevermind, I'm just stupid :B I'll be looking for more proof tomorrow. It's late and I need to eat food.
K, waiting then.
MOAR PROOF GUYS
Selling for 2.33:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13299206
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13313522
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13299911
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13321234
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13340504
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13315600
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13305543
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13289904
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13258467
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13323449
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13329377
Sold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12747808 (For two ref)
Unsold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12991071 (2.66 at one week, dunno how I missed this)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13185348 (Unsold at 5 days for 2.66)
One of those 2.33 sellers already has an add. Looks like they move pretty well at 2.33. However, some of your 2.66 ones have sold, so I'm not sure about removing it from the range
Well, I'm basing my price suggestion off the fact that most sellers want to get as much metal as they can off of their sales. Even if the hat can sell for 2.66, if a large amount of sellers start to sell at 2.33, that should be enough to prove that the price is beginning to shift towards 2.33
well it does mean that the price should be lower than 2.33, but for this particular price suggestion, proof is needed.
That's true. Unfortunately, I don't know how to access trades which have already been completed on Outpost. When I was buying my PaS there were a bunch more people selling at 2.33 T.T
me too. i don't know how to see the completed trades
You click on the item in the current trades to see their previous owners. Then you scroll down on their TF2Outpost Profile until you find them selling it. If it doesnt say how much they sold it for on the trade then you can use the history feature on bp.tf and see when the point and shoot is no longer in the backpack.
Sorry, if people sell for 2+, doesnt it mean that the new price must be 2-2.3?
It could if there were more people selling for 2 ref. There are more people selling for 3+ ref than 2 ref, but the range isn't above 2.66
UPDATE on the "New" 2.66 trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13263723SOLDhttp://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13281042SOLDhttp://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13283335
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13269485
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13272027SOLDhttp://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13216326SOLDhttp://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13193409
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13259866
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13223125SOLDhttp://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13246200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13275983
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13198323
Ill upvote. Hope it passes :p, gl.
Same here :D
The proof looks ok but not great. For example http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13281042 has sold.
For future suggestions, look for trades older than three days if you can find them. Yes, it's tedious digging through Outpost that far back, but it makes a suggestion more likely to pass and improves your case. Also finding people that are donators with autobump (denoted by blue or green text in their name) are also better proof, as if trades are bumped often and still unsold it's a sign price is dropping.
I do, however, feel that there are enough sellers for 2.33 to be worth an upvote.
Well, I did dig farther, through all the pages when I posted this. Most of the trades I found were either very young or bumped almost none of the time
Also, the poster ended the trade and reposted it with a modified price for the PaS at 2.33 :3 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13323449
VERY NEW TRADES FOR 2.66 (All of these are within 3 days old. If enough them get sold in the next 5 days then I'll close the suggestion):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13263723 - sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13281042 -sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13283335
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13269485
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13272027 -sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13216326 -sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13193409
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13259866
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13223125
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13246200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13275983
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13198323
Just to know how many sold so far.
Your 9th link has sold, the last link got closed, owner made a new trade:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13346967
That link hasn't sold. The guy just made a new trade with a re-listed price
Edit: nvm I get what you mean.
Oh, you're right. Mah bad.
Thank you for notifying me, btw :)