7 month old price, only 1 legitimate sale that I could find on outpost within the last month, and it involved a burning CM, which is also 3 months outdated. No recent sales that I found on that hat either on outpost, so it was either update burning or scorching. I chose the older one.

Overpay is calculated everywhere, I used the mid x 0.9 method for cases where there was a very large or very small range.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13144214 - Offers of:

-GHB Modest(~13.1 buds)

-Lantern Bubble(~7.8) + N&B Brainiac(~5.2) = ~13 buds

Sold with Blizz Reggae(~1.4) + Smoking Cowl(~1.2) + Planets Larrikin(~17 keys) + SF Sticky w/parts(~1.1 buds) + SF Grenade w/parts(~11 keys) + ~2 buds in shitton of sweets for Burning Company Man(~22 mid price)

22 - 7 = ~15 buds

Proof: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198057487960?time=1374908400 -> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198057487960?time=1374994800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13287134 - Looks to be bought for 6-7 pure from a scammer....offer of:

-Terrorwatt CM + Miami Baker + GE Football, no idea what this offer is exactly but it looks like it could possibly be around or above the 14-15 mark

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13159357 - B/O of 18 pure, offers of:

-PE Company Man(~11.8) + Smoking YWN(~1.2) + Nuts Boron(~1.8) = ~14.8 buds

-Beams Company Man(~14.1) + G. Fetti Bubble(~1.8) = ~15.9 buds

-Beams Company Man + 1 = ~15.1 buds (different person)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12677477 - offers of:

-Electro Executioner(~19.4 buds) rejected, outlier?

-HOUWAR + 3 pure = 15 buds

-Cloudy Tossle(~11.5) + 5 pure = ~16.5 buds

-Eerie Executioner(~15.9 buds)

-Burning Cowl(~9.7) + 7 pure + sweets = ~16.7 + ?, calling it ~17

Low end will be the sale of ~15, which is also commonly offered, high end is the highest offer of around ~17 not exceeding B/O. High end would have been 19.4 if not for the 18 B/O, also a multitude of other offers fall within 15-17 while 19.4 is nearly 2.5 buds higher than any other offer.

Let me know if I made any mistakes and what you guys think, thanks.