Updating a 5 month old price. 2 in existance, both on outpost currently.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10251335 - offers of:

-Beams Crown(~8) + Phosphorus Raincatcher(~2.8) = ~10.8

-Burning Fedora(~7.4) + Clean Maxes(2.2) = ~9.6

-Cloudy HWNN(~11.1)

-Burning Merry(~7.4) + Cauldron Hotrod(~2.3) + Big Kill = ~10.2

-Lantern Hoodie(~4.3) + Stormy Bonk Boy(~3.3) + O. Fire Milkman(~1.3) + O. Fire Pencil Pusher(~15 keys) + 22 keys = ~10.6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13033327

Sold for GBH Samureye - apparently worth 20+, outlier if so

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12516996 - best offer:

-Antifreeze Fez(~7) + 2 = ~9

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12508546

Sold for Harvest Milkman(~11) + SF Bat(~20 keys) = ~11.9

Proof: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198061386711?time=1373353200 -> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198061386711?time=1373439600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12183948

Sold for Scorching Hallmark + 1 bud = ~10.9 buds