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THIS IS A RE-UPLOADED PRICE DUE TO NEW PROOF THAT HAS ARISEN
Last Update to this hat was 2 months ago, Ill try and make it a bit more accurate
I will start with the trade I bought my hat from then go onto the other
Trade I bought From http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13241166
Notable Offers recieved on that trade: 1. Blizzardy Storm Killer's Exclusive 5-5.4 (rejected)
2. Knife Storm Prussian Pruklehause 1/1 forever valued at 6.1-6.6 (rejected)
4. Disco Beat down Whoopie Cap + PE Snaggletooth 3.1-3.9 (rejected)
5. Searing plasma Slope Scoper 4.3-4.8 + 1 bud pure (rejected)
7. Green Energy Cowl 4.9-5.3 (rejected)
9. Circling heart whoopie 3.2-3.4 + 2 pure (rejected)
10. Scorching Guad 4.1-4.4 + Terror-watt Hound dog + s festive sandvich (my offer and the one that got the hat)
Analysis: Offers lower than 4.9 didn't even exist (except for omber's offer) and offers at and even above this price listed were rejected. Buying Price was An old effect worth 4.1-4.4 and a new effect with the new effect hat most likely around 3.5ish buds adding up to an unusual over pay of about 7.5 + the 10 keys in sweets I added (subtracted a .9 bud from that value and viola 7 pure)
Trade That JUST ENDED (This is why i closed the last suggestion) (not my trade) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/1272868
Sold searing modest for vintage service metal
(service metal was being quicksold for 6 on past owner's trade so im considering it more proof that 6 is very possible in the middle of these ranges
Notable Offers he recieved
3. Knife Storm Merry weather 5.2-6.3 (rejected)
5. Stormy KE 5.2-5.9 (rejected and owner wants 2 more buds added)
6. Smoking Team Captain 4.7-5.5 (rejected)
7. Stormy Team Captain 5.3-5.9 (rejected)
9. Smoking Gibus (no price set but steaming is 5.2-6.4 so smoking would be more) (rejected)
11. Tf2 Logo Executioner 5.1-5.5 (rejected) (owner wants added stuff)
12. Disco beat down old guad + Craft #69 machina (rejected)
14. Planets Killers Exclusive with spell paint and spell painted items (i would say like 5 buds in value) (rejected)
15. Flaming lantern tyrants helm 4.6-5.3 (rejected)
17. Lantern Napper's (Lowball so hard) (owner laughs in his face) (rejected)
19. Blizz Killers Exclusive 5-5.4 (rejected)
25. Burning Guad 4.6-5.1 + sweets (Rejected after hearing sweets not equaling up to 7 buds)
26. Roboactive soldered sensai + sweets (rejected)
31. Stormy storm Tuff Stuff muffs 5.5-6.4 + .5 in sweets (rejected)
32. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13218171 (Rejected with large predjudice)
33. Green energy cowl (owner got 5 bud offer) (rejected after modest owner wanted 2 more buds added onto the hat)
36. Scorching tyrannus 7.6-8.4 if owner of modest adds 2
(making offer 5.6-6.4) (denied)
37. Vivid plasma Wraith wrap if modest owner adds 1 bud (rejected)
Analysis: Once again offers lower than 4.9 are rare and when they are found are terminated quite quickly and often with laughter.
Offers range predominatly in the 5.6 range with offers in the 6's being found.
The three recent visible sales: 1. http://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=166719129 at a price of 7 in hats and items, with overpay accounted for aswell. (me buying my hat)
2. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12728681 Which sold for A vintage service metal
(it was being quicksold for 7 in unusuals so i valued it at 7, 1 bud higher than the quicksale stated in pureyet lower than full price of the actual metal on this site)
Link to Quicksale trade ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/356840 )
3. The past owner of my hat Buying for 6 pure after failing to do so at 5 and 5.5 pure http://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=166750530
Calculating the overpay involved and the offers the owner had rejected that were lower than mine i found that the offer I made and was successfull with was around 7 in value (even with the Lowballing of the hats I bought the modest with to be fair). Along with this anything under 5.6 is quite unsuccessfull with middle ranges at 6 being achieved
Final notes: This is my second unusual suggestion, tell me how I did, and If you took the time to read all the way to this point I am sorry it was quite a bit long :3.
Another good middle range proof that just showed up
Searing modest sold to this guy for a burning flipped trilby priced at
5.9-6.4 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13387609
UP VOTE! is the best hat and nice colletble effect
That isn't the reason to up vote a suggestion, base it off of if the proof I found was sufficient and well put together. People like you just ruin the integrity of this site and now one of my suggestions. I am assuring you that anyone who read your post down voted based off of merely canceling out your vote based off of opinion and personal gain. To anyone reading this post, don't judge this suggestion based off people like this guy