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First suggestion, a rare unusual no less.
http://i.imgur.com/71zEY4L.png Sold for 5 pure a bit over 2 weeks ago, previous owner had it for a few months.
http://i.imgur.com/5Ozu5k3.png Sold for 5 pure 3 days ago.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12420878 It did sell for 4 pure 3-4 weeks ago, but I wouldn't consider that an accurate read on the current value of it as it's fairly rare, and there's also the fact that it sold for 5 pure in under 5 hours, 3 days ago. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13301156
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13180844 offered a Cloudy Moon Rack for the GE Honcho's and 1 bud, CM Rack has an offer of 6 here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10969357
Old, but the hat is rare (Only 2 have been available the entire time)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9838483 3-4 months ago it seems the hat was traded for a Purple Energy Honcho's + 36 Dota 2 keys, 1.3 pure at the time making that roughly 5.8 buds. PE Honcho was selling for 4.5 consistently - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/51647f7eba2536816c000003
Only 2 have been available -
http://www.tf2items.com/item/353872387 Scammer's backpack, he's also had it for a while.
http://www.tf2items.com/item/757024059 Unboxed by him, hasn't left his backpack.
Both owners of the ones recently traded rejected my 5 bud offers, neither of them have any intention to sell at the moment.
I've probably got this completely wrong, but lets hope not. Criticism would be cool.
Upvote. =)
It needs a range if someone had a B/O of 4 buds around 4 weeks ago, a flat price is used when the hat or the effect is new and there are no more proof of past sales or there is only a sale in a while, but this hat has been sold a lot of times despite being rare.
So, the lowest sale was 4 buds and the highest 5 buds. A better price should be 4 - 5 buds in my opinion.
I see where you're coming from, but due to the rarity wouldn't that mean the seller at the time didn't have a decent read of the market, more than likely was going off what the outdated backpack.tf suggestion was, (is). It's consistently being valued at 5, only one trade at 4 and that hat has gone on to sell for 5.
Now the only 2 hats in circulation have been taken out and are not currently on the market, meaning there would be a hugely inaccurate and false range up, possibly for a very long time, when most sales and offers have been occurring at 5. I've tried my very best to get one of these for 5 buds, the only other owner who isn't a scammer hasn't been online for 13 days, and the hat isn't currently on the market. That would imply my proof is correct and the current value is at 5.
I think 4-5 would be too large of a range when there is so much evidence to support the hat being offered/ sold for 5+ buds, and selling very fast for said amount. There is a trade before the 4 bud one valued at 5.8, and all the ones after at 5. Even though it's rare, 4 can be considered an outlier here. Just my take on it.
4-5 isn't reasonable imo. 4.5-5 if anything. It's rare enough that a single price doesn't bother me.
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/520111bf4bd7b89d67000008 i m with you man and btw 4 bud was a qs