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lets look at this hat
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13413832 sold with a sf scatter(2.7) for a peace KE(7.3) = 4.6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11702484
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11668279 - offered 4 buds(willing to take), liked a sunbeams counterfeit billcock + bud offer = 4, unknown sale
highend is the recent sale
lowend is the guy willing to take 4 buds
proof is hard to find, 2 on outpost, 1 hasn't sold in 3 months
Seems about right. My friend got offered one in this range.