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Rhys missed one piece of evidence, therefore valuing the hat a tad high.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12849488
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13139897
steaming cowl (22-26 keys) to this unusual.
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198018105328?time=1374822000 http://backpack.tf/id/76561198018105328?time=1374994800
shown by the person's bp.
Secondly, the chapeau (1.7-2.2 buds) minus the luger and key (7 keys) would bring the mirror to 1.4.
Therefore a lower range must be made.