Meh, 1 year old price. I was interested in this hat so I decided to see if the current suggested price was acceptable.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8272313 (Six month old trade, the owner claims to have a 6 bud c/o. "Victor Von Troll" offered a harvest moon medic mountain cap recently)

http://backpack.tf/stats/381/5/45 (4.7 - 6.4 buds, updated 4 months ago)

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10231641 (User "2scared2melee" offered a stormy 13th hour honcho within the last month)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12102739 (2scared2melee seems to have sold it for at least 6 buds pure)

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12814860 (probably quicksold for five)

Summary: Current range looks mostly fine.

My estimate on the USD would be around $215 - $250 (presuming buds are $38), which would be 5-5.8 buds according to bp.tf. But because most users don't seem to care about USD I'll just give it a $ higher than I intended (so a $263 mid-value).