Looks like this need a drop. 2 month old price.

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Unsold @ 1.44 - 1.66 Refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13330915 - 1.66, 4 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13259352 - 1.66, 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13235911 - 1.55, 1 Week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13249012 - 1.44, 1 Week

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/52002d4eba25360644000011

- 1 Seller @ 1.33 Refined

- 2 Unsolds @ 1.66 Refined

- 1 Unsold @ 1.55 Refined

http://i.imgur.com/1P9hvK9.jpg

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Selling/Sold @ 1.33 Refined & Below

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13394877 - was selling for 1.55 Refined, but changed his price to 1.22 Refined and sold it.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13198384 - 1.22 Refined (sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13452742 - 1.33 Refined (Sold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13045900 - 1.33 Refined

http://bazaar.tf/trade/344562 --------------------- 1.33 Refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13234741 - 1.33 Refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12809887 - 1.33 Refined

http://bazaar.tf/trade/322061 --------------------- 1.33 Refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13332006 - 1:1 for a Stovepipe (1.33 Refined)

Buyer:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10137069 - Buying for 1.33 Refined, gotten tons of adds.

(Note: there are 3 pages of Sydneys on outpost, but most of them are either low crafts, painted an expensive paint, or people trying to sell it higher because they think their craft # is special.)

As you can see, 1.44 - 1.66 Refined is pretty much impossible to sell for, most people are selling this @ 1.33 Refined flat.