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There are 4 of these in existance. Sales and offers are all over the place for this hat, so it is a bit difficult to price, but I like a challenge.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11005304 (1-2 months ago)
-best offer Stormy 13th Company Man(~8.8 buds)
Appears to have been sold for $350 (8.75 buds with buds = $40)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12530804 - offers of:
-Cloud 9 Mancer(~3.9 buds)
-Beams Beret(~3) + Bubbling Mancer(~19 keys) + Stormy Capo(~21 keys) = ~4.8 buds
Sold 1:1 for Miami Lights Lancer
Hat is not priced, but it's best visible offer is a Knifestorm Mancers + 2 buds (~6.3 buds)
~6.3 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13001680
Sold for Antifreeze Billycock (seller preferred spy hats, likely didn't consider value in that trade, this hat is probably worth ~4 at best)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13255187 - B/O 6 buds, offers of:
-Killawat Ten Gallon + V. Bills(~1.8) + 1 bud + SF Huntsman(~9 keys) + S. Caber(~9 keys)
Ten Gallon isn't priced, it's best offer was a Power Surge Noir = ~3.8 buds
3.8 + 3.6 = ~7.4 buds
-Bliz Headwarmer(~4.1) + 1 bud in sweets = ~5.1
Sold for Sulphurous Strontium Stove(~3.2)
Proof
DDM had a Sulphurous Juju: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198079372835?time=1375426800
He traded it for a Sulpherous Strontium Stove: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13166418
Finally Mancers replaced by stovepipe: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198071259322?time=1375513200
Not sure why this sold so low when he had better offers (or why the previous owner traded a 6-7 bud hat for the stovepipe, seems like there must have been a lot of hype around this hat for some reason).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13341700 - B/O 10.5 buds, offers of:
-2 buds + Terrorwatt AA(~4.1) = ~6.1 buds
-Miami Lights Fullmetal Drill
Price Talk
The first link/sale is probably too old to consider, since it is 1-2 months old and no other offers or sales reach that caliber recently. With the 3rd link, the seller highly preferred spy hats, which seems to be why he traded it for a billycock with the same effect, when the mancer is clearly a higher tier hat. The 4th sale also seems very undersold, given that there were multiple offers that were much higher than the hat he traded for. This fact also reinforces the theory that these low sales are in fact low for this hat. The range is the most recent reasonable sale and the highest recent offer.
Nice job. upvoted
Whoops, that second sale should say "Miami Nights Mancer" not Miami Lights Lancer. lol