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I am remaking this suggestion because another user brought the following to my attention - An offer of 6 buds was rejected, so 5 buds would not make a very good low-end price
I recently traded for this hat, and I do not like to own "priceless" unusuals.
Proof for this price-
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10911136:
Rejected offers of 6 pure
Rejected Harvest Cowl + 1 Pure (~8-9 Buds)
Sold for a HOUWAR (He added a gifted PE hallmark (~4 buds))
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/25188:
I am unable to find what he sold this for
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13038921:
Sold to Jester
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198000588960?time=1374994800 <-- He has 6 buds
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198000588960?time=1375081200 <-- He no longer has buds, but he has the reggae. The history on the buds show that they all went to Quickselling Items (Some buds are duped and their histories jump around)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13255152:
Rejected Phosphorous Cowl (~7 Buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13483927:
My current offer is a Misty Skull bonk boy (~8 Buds)
I have not counted or priced every offer, but the majority of offers are in the 6-7.5 bud range. I sold my burning flames slug for this + a bubbling team captain (TC is 4 buds). The slug is ~10.5 buds, which would leave this to be ~6.5 buds.
According to http://www.tf2pricecheck.net/Thread-GUIDE-Unusual-Effect-Tiers-v%E2%88%9E-Recently-Updated time warp is under sunbeams. The high price of this suggestion, 7.5 buds, fits that list (The list is only a guideline on pricing)
I just realized the ":" I put after every trade is messing up the links. If you click on the link, just remove the ":" at the end
well you quite forgot about unusual overpay and there are outdated prices on slug(2 available for 10,5 b/o not sure if clean) and bonk boy - 7,7 w/ overpay, outdated price. however houwar- 4 buds indeed is 7,5 so I ll upvote until someone else finds other problem
Lower end -quick sell price http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13038921 ?
I think will be better here your trade price 6.5 or 7 -some rejected offer .
Jester bought one at 6 buds, and I'd say your purchase was more around 6 as well. Burning slug has BOs of 10.5 buds, or http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12192690 - BO of 9 buds. Offers on this hat have been pretty good too, so it supports the high price.