Suggestion: Orbiting Fire A Rather Festive Tree at 36.11–38.44 keys

Price Suggestion

~19 keys

o.fire

105 votes up

24 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Tue, 13 Aug 13 23:04:03 +0000 by An Average NTR Enjoyer.

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Comments

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13526334 - O. Fire Merryweather + sweets (Probably 5 keys, this guy offered on some others with this price) = 33 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13062111 - Same O. Fire Merryweather and Keys. Also got another offer of a TF Logo Ketche, and a Smoking Glengarry Bonnet = 26 - 30 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13534085 - O. Fire Merryweather + 5 keys, or 23 keys + TS bills = 33 or 31 keys. Also had an offer of a bud plus a S.F. Grenade Launcher = 31 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13569137 - 33 pure keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13119303 - The Merryweather and Keys, AGAIN. Also, a Circling TF Logo Samur-Eye + White Bill + 6 keys in sweets = 33 keys (And an alleged offer of a Steaming Tower and O. Fire Cold Killer, which is crazy, but when you read the comments the guy says he's offering for his friend, so we wont count that.)

So since the highest offers on most of these seemed to be that guy and his Merryweather plus 5 keys (at the time of finishing this he seems to have actually done the trade with someone), it's hard to get a 100% accurate read. However, there were A LOT of 31 key offers on most of the trades, so that makes a decent minimum. If you feel I did something wrong, lemme know. I'll be happy to fix and repost. Thanks! 31 keys low, and like 33 high is the range. :) Thanks to Awesome McCoolName for helping me out on my fail post lol

These are all OFFERS. They have not taken them, which does not mean that it's valid proof.

The Merryweather one was taken, it says in the bottom lol

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13435167

Sold for

1 bud + 3 keys + towering titanium of hats (1.33) + base metal billycock (1.22) + a festive tree hat (1.33) + a Strange half zatoichi with a strange part (2.33) + strange baby face blaster (0.11) + strange detonator (0.33) = 1 bud, 3 keys, 6.66 refined = 1.2 buds.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13526334

Sold for O Fire Merryweather (1.3–1.5 buds) + 6 keys = 1.5-1.7 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13107229

Probably sold for 1.6 buds.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12876451

Sold for O. fire Company Man (1.6–1.7 buds)

1.2-1.6 seems better.

Not really. It seems to me that the only proof you have of your 1.2 price is from that one outlier sale of 1.2. Every other sale was in the range of 1.5-1.7, and the current price: 1.4-1.7 still seems accurate to me. One sale of 1.2 does not mean that the price should change according to that especially since every other sale is in the 1.5-1.7 range.

He's suggesting 1.4-1.5, not 1.4-1.7

I know. I said the CURRENT price: 1.4-1.7. Not his suggesting price. You think it should be 1.2-1.6 based on one outlier to back up your 1.2 and the guy who made this suggestion is just completely wrong by just giving offers as proof. Not to mention that the offers are rejected.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13534085

Sold for 1 bud + festive grenade launcher (1.4 buds)

Okay, if 1.2 is an outlier, this suggestion is correct. (Well, 1.4-1.6 would be. But that's a little change)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13505708

Sold for Blizz Crown (1.5-1.6 buds)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11857365

You sold yours for O. Fire Company Man (1.6–1.7 buds) as well.

UPVOTE

He added some stuff I remember with the Company Man. And I sold ANOTHER Orbiting Fire Festive Tree (your first link with the level 1) for 38 keys, 10.66 refined (that time around 2 keys worth), and 2 backpack expanders. (That time around a key's worth.)

PROOF: http://i.imgur.com/qglGSuF.jpg?1

I pretty much sold it for 40 keys pure + 2 backpack expanders, 41 keys. That's pretty much 1.9 PURE. Well if you consider one sale to be the lower end of a price for the unusual, even though that pretty much every sale was between the 1.5-1.7 range, with my sale even being almost 2 buds pure there's no reason for you to try to decrease this unusual's value just because of THAT ONE SALE. Same as me trying to INCREASE this unusual's value just because of MY ONE SALE. If you average the sales, you'll find it's at it's current range.

I can say "1.9 buds is an outlier", just as you stated the 1.2 buds is an outlier.

And if you want to use a 2 months old trade as proof, go ahead.

Yeah well if you call it an outlier too that just cancels each of them out which leaves us to only sales of 1.5-1.7 LIKE I SAID EARLIER.

I think 1.4-1.6 would have been the best. It's kinda close though, and voters seem to agree.