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DROOOP
Sellers at 2:
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/520043b1ba2536313e000003 Seller at 2 ref, 2.33 is unsold for 4 days, he's also willing to trade for a name tag (~2 ref).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13544709 Selling 2 for 2 ref apiece.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13295395 Lowest backpack.tf price (2 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13567583 2 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13598322 2 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13595209 Sold rather fast at 1.66.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13492596 1.11 ref!? (Horribly underbumped + possibly quicksell, so take it with a grain of salt)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13589884 Selling at 2.33 with 1 ref paint, so he clearly values the hat at less than 2.33.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13537815 Unsold at 2.33 for 2 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13430881 Unsold at 2.33 for 5 days
I'm aware that this is a pathetic amount of proof, but look at outpost:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/139555969,1
That's 2 pages of trades, and half of it is underbumped, and for salt in the wounds, most of them are offer trades, with no sales or defined prices or even offers on the belgian! It's clear that these things aren't selling at 2.33, and there are barely any sellers for that price, though.
No trade.tf was used.
Check the backpack.tf classifieds too, I just saw a guy asking for 1.88
"Iz not good day for the french man"
Because you left out trade.tf, I just wanted to point out on the website's mathematical spreadsheet, it also agrees that the prices should be 2 refined: http://www.trade.tf/price/30128/6
That's great and all, but trade.tf tends to skew towards quicksellers, look at key prices for example. That's why I try not to use it.