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1 of 1, 1 on the market.
Overpay is applied.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10313259
Sold for a Flaming Lantern Front Runner (~6.3 buds)
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198050334944?time=1368169200 and http://backpack.tf/id/76561198050334944?time=1368428400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10839094
Sold for an Electrostatic Fed-Fightin' Fedora (~3.9 buds) - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10889912
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13453831
No notable offers.
Flaming Lantern Front Runner -no price set ( If your price accept ~6.3 but if no ?)
Electrostatic Fed-Fightin' Fedora (2.9-3.9) - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5209ae294bd7b8e10c000016
You can't use the electrostatic fedora as proof (with me owning the hat) as I traded it for the front runner a few days into the hype when no one knew what anything was worth, also the suggestion passed was accepted 2 days ago for it.
Anyways with your proof, the low end would not be 3.9 buds. It would be more like 3.1 buds.
I just realised that actually, I was working on suggestions and originally the fedora was priced at around 4.3, then got to 2.9-3.9
Again, the range is huge... One of those two sales definitely is an outlier, but which one? I think it might be better to wait for another sale, there rare halloween effect hats are difficult to price correctly :/
I'll just store the proof I used for these to use them later, that'll be easier.
I'll be watching on them until later.