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4 month old price. Lets look at this.
Originally looking for an all class hat, I found a guy selling for 2 buds. This led me to inquire.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13601091 - offer of G Fetti Tricorne (14 keys) + Bubbling Whoopee (17 keys) + Orbiting Fire Cone (18 Keys) + 10 keys. This equals 55 keys. However, unusual overpay makes me take 6 keys (2 keys each) off the offer, giving it 49 keys, or barely over 2 buds. Lets call this a 2.1 bud offer. Seemingly pounced on by the owner.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13582726 - 1:1 for a Max. 1 day old and constantly bumped. Max's are about 2.2 buds for a clean and under 2 buds for a dupe/1/7.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12766261 - Wants 2 buds. offer of P Fetti Tricorne (18 keys) + Bubbling Whoopee (17 keys) + Orbiting Fire Cone (18 Keys) + 5 keys. Offer of 54 keys. Taking the unusual overpay (2 keys off each) this is a 48 key offer. Just over 2 buds. Is the same offerer as above (with the cone). It has a second offer of a Nuts Kabuto (21 keys, however outdated), Stormy Bombing Run (19 keys, however outdated), and S Invis (2.3 keys). This is a 42 key offer, however, taking off 4 keys (2 keys for each unusual, and rounding down on the non-unusual) this becomes a 38 key offer, barely under 2 buds. The prices on the unusuals in this offer are outdated, and should be taken with a grain of salt. 3 week old trade.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13533480 - Wants two unusuals / a Max from the looks of things. Golf has offered again. Another offer is a GIFTED TF Logo Crown. Unsure what to value it as it is gifted. Assuming it is 17 keys. Adding the 10 keys, this is a 25 key offer (Adding the overpay). Barely a bud. Same person offers a Steaming Noble + 5 keys. Around 1.4 buds in value including overpay. Refuses to do the Crown and Noble (2.2 buds or so). Another offer is a Blizzardy Fez, around 1.1 buds with overpay, OR an Orbiting Fire Lid (around 1.4 with overpay).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13574387 - Offer of a Vivid Bonk Helm (1.4 with overpay. Outdated price). This person has no buyouts shown. Golf offered again.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13401591 - Wants 2 buds. Has a P.Surge Mirror offered (around 1.7) + 10 keys. Around 1.9 buds in an offer. Also an offer of an Overclocked Glove (1.6) + Service Medal (9 keys) And 2 keys. Calling this a 1.8 bud offer. Was also offered a Steaming Noble (1.4) + 16 keys. Around 2 buds.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12982932 - No Buyout. Offered an Orb Fire Cannonball (1.6 bud offer). Was also offered a Smoking Cannonball (1.7 bud offer). Also offered Steaming Trib (1.1 buds) + 15 keys (around 1.7 buds). Also offered 40 pure.
There are more on the market, but I feel this is enough to reach a verdict. CLEARLY, 2.3 is too high. People are still prepared to pay over 2 buds for it, but there are too many people offering less than 2 buds. I feel that 1.8-2.2 is an adequate pricing. We have to take into account that most of the lower offers are people trying to make a profit and nothing more, and of course there are those who are willing to pay top price. There are a fair few trying to sell for 2 plain. But with those paying more, I can't help but overlook it.
...hey, at least its more accurate than the current price, right?
Link 1- 14+ 17+ 18+ 10 = 59. You said 55.
Link 3- 18+ 17+ 18+ 5 = 58. You said 54.
...
Also, were any 1.9 offers accepted? There have been offers of over 2.2 buds in here.
If offers < current price -bad proof
Need : prof (sold/bought price)on lower end , proof on Hight End possible offer > current price or sold/bought price
Lots of B/O of 2 pure, but it does get decent overpay offers in unusuals justifying 2.2 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12766261 - offered GF tricorne + OF cone + bubbling whoopee+ 5 keys