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Selling for 4.66--
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/5200158a4bd7b8713f000009
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13608202
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13616450
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13580884
4 Ref for muchacho here- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13578481
4.33 here- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13590731
The ones being sold for lower than 4.66 are rare, but the ones still selling for a key are getting stacked up.
Looks like its still going to drop a bit more.
EDIT:
5 ref- unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13608418
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13608633
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13583023
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13510808
3 days unsold at 5 ref-
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13525041
I think you might need more at 4.66 for this to pass.
Some 5 unsolds could help too :)
Added some in the edit, some are probably still getting sold at 5, but I'm not sure why when its relatively easy to find them going for a reclaimed or two lower.
Bought at 3.66 -- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13516462
My point is that this misc is selling all over the damn board, and it needs a wider price range on backpack.tf to reflect what its going for at the moment. Looking at the massive amount of people trying to buy it for even lower, it might go down a bit more soon. But this is the first step.
some unsolds at 5 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13603979
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13606808
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13608418
http://bazaar.tf/trade/355717
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/5200158a4bd7b8713f000009 - 11 unsolds at 5 ref.