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5 month old price
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12280684 1 month 15 B/O, best offer of 13 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13447790 1 week, 15 B/O, best offer of 8 keys + s.widow (9 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12280665 1 month, best offer of blizz toe (13)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13301343 1 week 15 keys b/o 0 offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13514412 sold for 9 keys (qs)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13514597 sold for 11 (low end)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13514735 sold for 13 keys (high end)
9 key seller sold in a day, if not in minutes, person resold it for 11 keys in less than a day, and that person resold it to cranwell for 13 keys, and might have sold faster if he had put a buyout. First link has had offers in 11-13 keys pure multiple times. The second link with the best offer of "8 keys + s.widow" actually has a lot more sweets than that if you knew how to read his trade. He also bought it for at least 12.5 keys in mixed: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13376562 in short 11 keys is unsubstantiated as it is based on one rapid sale with plenty of other offers/sales being higher.
Downvote, poor suggestion.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13374916 - sold for 11 pure (has 11 keys in pack - and buyer went from 18-->7 keys) - this did get sold to a quickbuyer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13383499 - buyer had a b/o of 12
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13451635 - sold for bubbling ol' geezer ~13
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13376562 - nnb conn cap + 3ish ~13-15ish? (nnb is old price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13353042 - sold for planets toe ~12
Ehhh. 11 for a pyro hat seems low... And it did get sold in a day... And second one did get sold to a quickbuyer....
If this suggestion was 12-13, wouldn't even have to think about it
I resold the 13key one for about 18.5keys on the steam market http://i.imgur.com/D2sqlRN.png
the buyer was an outlier?