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I guess I will be the one to update this 5 month old price, with a bit of luck. All unusual offer values have been calculated using the low-end pricings.
Well, let us just jump right into the proof, why don’t we.
Only one on the market at the moment, found here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13626543Although this is still a very young trade, and I will be updating this as it goes along or even close and resuggest for this hat if necessary, there is some proof to be taken out of this. Namely, within the first few hours of advertising the hat, there has been an offer of a steaming cosa nostra (20 keys, outdated price, may be an idea for someone to update later), and they show some interest to add a little, albeit the amount is unknown as of now.
Seems that has sold in the time it took me to write this suggestion, so here is the NEW trade of the only one on outpost at the moment:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13634405
Straight off the bat of the new trade with a 20 key offer, will keep you posted on updates on this hat as they happen.
Seems there has been another offer of a bubbling cowl, which even if its current suggestion passes, still has the low range of 20 keys.
Now, the main body of proof will come from recent sales
First, the current hat was sold in this trade ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13537440 ) for a stormy sola topi and presumably 3 keys (22 keys, outdated, again may need updating). Notable offers before the sale includes a stormy counterfeit billycock, if some minor sweets were added (~1 bud) and 1 bud, 1 key pure (23 keys)
Secondly, the trade above got their hat from this trade ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13516311 ) for an unknown value, however I could ascertain that a B.M.O.C was used as part of the trade, but sadly I cannot find any other information on the trade. There was only one offer here, and this was a vivid plasma sola topi if 3 keys and a hive mind was added (~18.6 keys).
Third trade of recent sales (5 days ago, this hat is getting passed around a lot!) is found here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13480630. The hat was sold for one bud (22 keys).
Fourth sale (We have reached the one week ago mark!) is here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13480630 and was sold for 21 keys, presumably.
Also, a lead was given that it was sold about a month ago for 30 keys, shown here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12053397.
Fifth sale, and onto a different hat here, was sold for a blizzard bucket hat and 4 keys in item sweets (~18-19 keys, outdated price again...), shown here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13511970
Well, now to explain my choice of range now I guess. I have chosen the low range to be 22 keys, due to the surprising amount of offers at this range in both unusual and pure offers. I have set the high range for now at 30 keys, due to the one sale at that price a month ago, but I will be more than willing to close this suggestion and refine the range if it is thought necessary.
Thanks for reading, and any constructive criticisms or any proof I may have missed that would benefit the suggestion in any way is greatly appreciated.
Well, seems the 'current' one for sale has been sold yet again! This hat seems get passed around like a hot potato. This time all I could find is that it was sold for at least a strange festive minigun with 3 relatively good parts, making the sale worth around ~22 keys. ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13638936 )
In addition to this, the hat has been put back onto the market yet again with the B/O being 1.5 buds. Maybe if the buyout is higher we will see whether or not this large string of sales was actually at quicksell prices or not. Anyhoo, the link to the new trade is here ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13649663 ), and I will comment again if any other of these hats comes up with any more notable offers or sales.
Another day, another sale. The seller above seems to have sold theirs for a Steaming Gridiron Guardian, a Nuts and Bolts Dread Knot and some unknown sweets, meaning that the sale has a value of ~27-28 keys. With the sale coming within one day of being on outpost, this is quite a streak that this hat is going on.
As for the market, this lead appears to have dried up, so in the spirit of following the tale of this hat and its surprisingly high turnover rate, I have acquired one myself and have subsequently put it up on outpost. For future reference, my trade can be found here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13668134 . I will again comment here if any more notable offers or even sales come up before this suggestion is either accepted or closed.
How much did you pay for yours?
Solid proof of the high end, even in pure.