"Did you forget about me? - The Sphee

3 of these in existence, 2 are on outpost.

See the last suggestion for why I closed it and re-suggested: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/520dd6f34bd7b8c329000004#521007a44bd7b81721000001_row

Sales

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13067545

Sold for Harvest Beak(~19) + PE Napper(~3.3) + Bubbling Bomber(~2.2) + Ghosts Pickel(~2.8) + Spectrum EA(~.5) = ~27.8 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12372606 - offers of:

-tenative Secret Executioner(see below for price estimation)

-Roboactive Bomber(~25.6) + Power Surge Bomber(~7.4) = ~33 buds

Sold for 28 pure + 7 keys + Stormy Hallmark(~1.7) = ~30 buds

Proof: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198015028262?time=1373007600 -> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198015028262?time=1373180400

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13192135

Sold for Cloudy Cannonball(~29.4, questionable) + PE Executioner(no price, probably ~25-30) = ~55 buds (very high, outlier)

There are no visible(see:provable) offers in that trade or any of its relists that come close to this sale, many if not all of the C/O's listed are either fake or outdated.

Current Owners

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13108333 - trade up for the last 2-3 weeks

no notable offers in this trade

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13055187 (relist) - trade up during 3-4 weeks ago

no notable offers in this trade

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12415465 (relist), best offers of:

-Duped Secret Executioner(nearly year old price, this one http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12818243 sold for ~26 with overpay recently)

-Time Warp Crones(no price) "Sorry if this is a downgrade to you D:" suggests to me this was a premature offer, as he has gotten many offers on his TW since then that are better than the offers on this hat

-Duped Secret Executioner(~26) + Bubbling Bomber(~2.2) + Spectral EA(~.5) = 28.7

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13224818 - best offers after 2-3 weeks of:

-Roboactive Executioner(no price), last one sold for Eerie TC + Beams Marauder + 4 buds = ~31 buds), and current ones on outpost don't have any standing offers above ~30, all the good offers have been retracted.

-Hearts Executioner(no price, see http://backpack.tf/vote/id/520dd6f34bd7b8c329000004#521007a44bd7b81721000001_row ) + Miami Headwarmer(~7.7)

-Hearts Executioner + Moon Merry(~7.5 outdated)

-Miami Executioner(no price, best offer seemed to be Sulph Gibus ~21, he sold for a Killawat Crones, best offer of hearts brotherhood ~24.1 overpaid, but I doubt it's above Cloud 9) + 5 = ~29.1 buds best case at this point

Price Talk - Suggested Range: 27.8 - 33 buds

I've waited this out a while to see if this hat truly was worth 40-50+ and getting offers in that range (it wasn't). Between the 2 that are on outpost, there have been three sales, for ~27.8, ~30, and ~55. The best offer that I have found on this hat has been ~33, keep in mind this is among offers that are actually proven to have happened. With regard to the offers found in the past 2-3 weeks, a few have been slightly higher. Among all offers, a large amount fall within or very close to the suggested range. None have exceeded the high end or give me reason to think the price on this hat should be higher.

A few weeks ago when I suggested this, I was recommended to resuggest something in the 30-50 range. However, I cannot suggest something for which there is no proof, to do so would be folly. So I'm giving this another go after some time, hopefully the facts aren't too difficult to see.