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There is not an insane amount of proof regarding this hat. Mainly due to only 3 or so existing. However, there is some data backing this price range.. There are 2 price checks within this range, there is someone that offered on this hat within this range, and there was 2 selling this within range.
Proof - Price Checks (Month old)
http://www.tf2pricecheck.net/Thread-PC-Unusual-Disco-Beat-Down-Buckaroos-Hat
Offer of 2 Buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12889343
Selling for 2.5 Buds (Unsure if successful or not, Unusual was traded but unknown for what amount)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13019212
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13094987
There's no proof of 2.5 so if you really wanted I reckon you remake the trade for just 2 buds or try to find more proof
You need at least 2 sales to make a price for it.
No you don't. I've seen people just use one sale to suggest a price, these new unusuals are like 1 of 1 in the world or something.
It's a new rule, recently put in. There has to be 2 sales now.
Whaaat really?
For new effects and robo effects you NEED 2 sales at least.
I'm pretty sure both your links of 2.5 sold for less, as the first one was sold to the second link, and the second link is asking for 2.5 buds too which must mean that he bought it for less otherwise I see no point in him buying it for 2.5 and then reselling it for 2.5 again.
This may not be unreasonable - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13460175
Offered a headcase and has some other decent offers
And this one - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13094987 - seems to have sold for a stormy fez + planets honchos? - ~2.6ish?
So based on those two, it's ~2.5 buds. 2 buds would be bit low then, seeing as how the 2 bud offer and a ghosts ballcap weren't accepted.