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By the new rules, I need 2 sales, 3 if one is an outlier. Fuck the new rules.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13703862
Sold for a blizz noble (outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12937158
Sold for a moon cockswain (old price)
4.2*0.9+0.1=3.9
3.9/0.9=4.3 <---- That is how you calculate reverse overpay (hell yeah I'm smart)
Since the price is old, not putting it in the range.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10940183
PE brigade
4.7*0.9+0.1=4.3
4.3/0.9=4.8
With the sales clean, time for one more thing to note -
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12937510
Best offer of - vivid hw (2.6) + phos hatte (4.1) = 6.7
Its a big range, but the most accurate as well.
"A bit tentative, tho. "
"Yeah, but as your effect is new, i'm not sure. I'll let you know as soon as i'm ready to trade "
From your last link. I think the offer'r changed his mind on offering such a high price for it.