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5 months old price.
sold/willing buyers for 3.33:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13730858
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13705714
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13672134
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13698656
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13473234
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13221317
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13731452
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13509852
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13626023
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12651925
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13081861
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13607990
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13160362 trash toter (3.33-3.66 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13645451 offer tuxxy (4 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12385818 offer 1 ref + medi mask + bushman's boonie + dirty ten gallon (around 5 ref)
quicksold for 3 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13721868
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13592077
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13612222
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13612962
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13737107
unsuccesful buyers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13744536 anger (2.66-3 ref) + 0.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13718062 winter wonderland wrap (3 ref) + 2 weapons
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13722577 3 ref
feel free to provide counter / extra proof
The unsuccessful buyers bit you got there isn't all that helpful only because people want pure sale or overpay in items, not a lot of people 1:1 anymore.
About half of the 3.33 sellers have sold for that price, and a good amount of the 3 flat have sold. I don't really see this as proof of it going up, as more or less proof that the current range still holds and is working fine.
I'm gonna down vote for that fact, but nice work on tracking down all the trades. :)
hard to believe a hat is actually going up.
ill upvote for the proof, and because it seems you put a bit more effort in it then some of your other suggestions.