Needs a slight drop with sellers below current price, as well as it is still possible to sell for 4.66 refined [Proof below]

Selling/Sold under 4.66 Refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13801208 - 4 refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13790202 - 4 refined

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9723571 - 4 refined

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9723372 - means 4 refined?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13808150 - 4.33 refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13803493 - 4.33 refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13756772 - 4.33 refined

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9722461 - 4.33 refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13804669 - 4.55 refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13802335 - 4.55 refined

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9723251 - 4.55 refined

Sold for 4.66 refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13400844

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13754791

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9723532

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9718403

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9714032

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13684339

2 refined :O

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9722273

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13805667

Thanks!

Also forgot classifieds:

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/5200378b4bd7b8610900000c

- Seller at 4 Refined

- 3 Sellers at 4.33 Refined

- Seller at 4.55 Refined